Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge advecting warmer air masses northward, positioning Amsterdam's August 12 maximum near 27–28°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. Ensemble spreads from the ECMWF and GFS show modest variability in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around these values versus lower odds for 26°C or 29°C. Historical August climatology for the region averages 21–22°C, so this anomalous warmth stems from suppressed cloud cover and southerly flow rather than typical maritime moderation. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 12?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 12?
27°C 38%
28°C 32%
26°C 15%
29°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
15%
27°C
38%
28°C
32%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
27°C 38%
28°C 32%
26°C 15%
29°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
23°C or below
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$12 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
26°C
$141 ปริมาณ
15%
27°C
$13 ปริมาณ
38%
28°C
$72 ปริมาณ
32%
29°C
$20 ปริมาณ
11%
30°C
$15 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C
$11 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$12 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge advecting warmer air masses northward, positioning Amsterdam's August 12 maximum near 27–28°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. Ensemble spreads from the ECMWF and GFS show modest variability in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around these values versus lower odds for 26°C or 29°C. Historical August climatology for the region averages 21–22°C, so this anomalous warmth stems from suppressed cloud cover and southerly flow rather than typical maritime moderation. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$320วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge advecting warmer air masses northward, positioning Amsterdam's August 12 maximum near 27–28°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. Ensemble spreads from the ECMWF and GFS show modest variability in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around these values versus lower odds for 26°C or 29°C. Historical August climatology for the region averages 21–22°C, so this anomalous warmth stems from suppressed cloud cover and southerly flow rather than typical maritime moderation. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$320วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a high-pressure ridge advecting warmer air masses northward, positioning Amsterdam's August 12 maximum near 27–28°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds. Ensemble spreads from the ECMWF and GFS show modest variability in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around these values versus lower odds for 26°C or 29°C. Historical August climatology for the region averages 21–22°C, so this anomalous warmth stems from suppressed cloud cover and southerly flow rather than typical maritime moderation. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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