**Marine layer influence and stable onshore flow are keeping the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 9 firmly in the upper 70s according to National Weather Service guidance.** The latest NWS point forecasts for the Los Angeles basin and coastal stations, including near LAX, call for patchy dense fog in the morning followed by partly to mostly sunny skies and a high near 78°F, with light southwest winds. This pattern aligns with typical early-August climatology, where the cool Pacific marine layer caps daytime heating and prevents significant warming despite seasonal averages near 84–85°F. Model consensus and recent observations reinforce this outcome. No heat-wave setup or offshore flow is present, and current surface observations show temperatures in the mid-70s to low-80s under similar conditions. The market-implied probabilities—47.5% for 78–79°F and 35.5% for 76–77°F—reflect traders’ assessment of these official forecasts and the low likelihood of rapid changes before tomorrow’s maximum. Any upward revision would require an unexpected erosion of the marine layer or stronger warming aloft, scenarios not supported by the latest guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 9?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 9?
78-79°F 50%
76-77°F 32%
80-81°F 17%
74-75°F 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 50%
76-77°F 32%
80-81°F 17%
74-75°F 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
71°F or below
$206 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$39 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$243 ปริมาณ
4%
76-77°F
$894 ปริมาณ
32%
78-79°F
$917 ปริมาณ
50%
80-81°F
$472 ปริมาณ
17%
82-83°F
$312 ปริมาณ
2%
84-85°F
$122 ปริมาณ
2%
86-87°F
$226 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$1,207 ปริมาณ
<1%
90°F or higher
$1,580 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer influence and stable onshore flow are keeping the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 9 firmly in the upper 70s according to National Weather Service guidance.** The latest NWS point forecasts for the Los Angeles basin and coastal stations, including near LAX, call for patchy dense fog in the morning followed by partly to mostly sunny skies and a high near 78°F, with light southwest winds. This pattern aligns with typical early-August climatology, where the cool Pacific marine layer caps daytime heating and prevents significant warming despite seasonal averages near 84–85°F.
Model consensus and recent observations reinforce this outcome. No heat-wave setup or offshore flow is present, and current surface observations show temperatures in the mid-70s to low-80s under similar conditions. The market-implied probabilities—47.5% for 78–79°F and 35.5% for 76–77°F—reflect traders’ assessment of these official forecasts and the low likelihood of rapid changes before tomorrow’s maximum. Any upward revision would require an unexpected erosion of the marine layer or stronger warming aloft, scenarios not supported by the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,217วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Marine layer influence and stable onshore flow are keeping the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 9 firmly in the upper 70s according to National Weather Service guidance.** The latest NWS point forecasts for the Los Angeles basin and coastal stations, including near LAX, call for patchy dense fog in the morning followed by partly to mostly sunny skies and a high near 78°F, with light southwest winds. This pattern aligns with typical early-August climatology, where the cool Pacific marine layer caps daytime heating and prevents significant warming despite seasonal averages near 84–85°F.
Model consensus and recent observations reinforce this outcome. No heat-wave setup or offshore flow is present, and current surface observations show temperatures in the mid-70s to low-80s under similar conditions. The market-implied probabilities—47.5% for 78–79°F and 35.5% for 76–77°F—reflect traders’ assessment of these official forecasts and the low likelihood of rapid changes before tomorrow’s maximum. Any upward revision would require an unexpected erosion of the marine layer or stronger warming aloft, scenarios not supported by the latest guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,217วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Marine layer influence and stable onshore flow are keeping the highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 9 firmly in the upper 70s according to National Weather Service guidance.** The latest NWS point forecasts for the Los Angeles basin and coastal stations, including near LAX, call for patchy dense fog in the morning followed by partly to mostly sunny skies and a high near 78°F, with light southwest winds. This pattern aligns with typical early-August climatology, where the cool Pacific marine layer caps daytime heating and prevents significant warming despite seasonal averages near 84–85°F. Model consensus and recent observations reinforce this outcome. No heat-wave setup or offshore flow is present, and current surface observations show temperatures in the mid-70s to low-80s under similar conditions. The market-implied probabilities—47.5% for 78–79°F and 35.5% for 76–77°F—reflect traders’ assessment of these official forecasts and the low likelihood of rapid changes before tomorrow’s maximum. Any upward revision would require an unexpected erosion of the marine layer or stronger warming aloft, scenarios not supported by the latest guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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