Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and Trip.com indicate daytime highs of 37°C in Guangzhou on August 12, 2026, under cloudy skies with thunderstorms possible, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 37–38°C outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, high humidity, and regional monsoon patterns typically support peak temperatures in this range before convective activity develops, though model consensus shows modest spread due to steering flows and precipitation timing. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide baseline context, with recent observational trends favoring slight upward revisions in the short-term outlook. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours represent key variables that could refine these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 12?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 12?
38°C 47%
37°C 31%
39°C 18%
36°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
5%
37°C
31%
38°C
47%
39°C
18%
40°C
4%
41°C or higher
1%
38°C 47%
37°C 31%
39°C 18%
36°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
31°C or below
$471 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$362 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$308 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$529 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$356 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$486 ปริมาณ
5%
37°C
$620 ปริมาณ
31%
38°C
$653 ปริมาณ
47%
39°C
$635 ปริมาณ
18%
40°C
$760 ปริมาณ
4%
41°C or higher
$340 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and Trip.com indicate daytime highs of 37°C in Guangzhou on August 12, 2026, under cloudy skies with thunderstorms possible, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 37–38°C outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, high humidity, and regional monsoon patterns typically support peak temperatures in this range before convective activity develops, though model consensus shows modest spread due to steering flows and precipitation timing. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide baseline context, with recent observational trends favoring slight upward revisions in the short-term outlook. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours represent key variables that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,521วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and Trip.com indicate daytime highs of 37°C in Guangzhou on August 12, 2026, under cloudy skies with thunderstorms possible, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 37–38°C outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, high humidity, and regional monsoon patterns typically support peak temperatures in this range before convective activity develops, though model consensus shows modest spread due to steering flows and precipitation timing. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide baseline context, with recent observational trends favoring slight upward revisions in the short-term outlook. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours represent key variables that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,521วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Met Office and Trip.com indicate daytime highs of 37°C in Guangzhou on August 12, 2026, under cloudy skies with thunderstorms possible, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 37–38°C outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions, high humidity, and regional monsoon patterns typically support peak temperatures in this range before convective activity develops, though model consensus shows modest spread due to steering flows and precipitation timing. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide baseline context, with recent observational trends favoring slight upward revisions in the short-term outlook. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours represent key variables that could refine these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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