Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate maximum temperatures on August 13 most likely ranging 32–34°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence and southwest monsoon flow, with limited cloud cover or showers expected to allow peak heating. Normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures for August–October, driven by long-term warming trends, support trader consensus around these values, while humidity above 80% and potential convective activity could cap extremes below 35°C. Key variables differentiating 32°C versus 34°C outcomes include steering patterns, wind speed affecting the urban heat island, and any last-minute model shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
33°C 41%
32°C 33%
34°C 18%
31°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
33%
33°C
41%
34°C
18%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 41%
32°C 33%
34°C 18%
31°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
27°C or below
$413 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$413 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$77 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$369 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$136 ปริมาณ
9%
32°C
$120 ปริมาณ
33%
33°C
$281 ปริมาณ
41%
34°C
$167 ปริมาณ
18%
35°C
$293 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C
$175 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C or higher
$60 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate maximum temperatures on August 13 most likely ranging 32–34°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence and southwest monsoon flow, with limited cloud cover or showers expected to allow peak heating. Normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures for August–October, driven by long-term warming trends, support trader consensus around these values, while humidity above 80% and potential convective activity could cap extremes below 35°C. Key variables differentiating 32°C versus 34°C outcomes include steering patterns, wind speed affecting the urban heat island, and any last-minute model shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,505วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate maximum temperatures on August 13 most likely ranging 32–34°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence and southwest monsoon flow, with limited cloud cover or showers expected to allow peak heating. Normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures for August–October, driven by long-term warming trends, support trader consensus around these values, while humidity above 80% and potential convective activity could cap extremes below 35°C. Key variables differentiating 32°C versus 34°C outcomes include steering patterns, wind speed affecting the urban heat island, and any last-minute model shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,505วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate maximum temperatures on August 13 most likely ranging 32–34°C under typical subtropical high-pressure influence and southwest monsoon flow, with limited cloud cover or showers expected to allow peak heating. Normal-to-above-normal seasonal temperatures for August–October, driven by long-term warming trends, support trader consensus around these values, while humidity above 80% and potential convective activity could cap extremes below 35°C. Key variables differentiating 32°C versus 34°C outcomes include steering patterns, wind speed affecting the urban heat island, and any last-minute model shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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