Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a likely daily maximum near 34°C on August 12, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid ongoing climate warming trends, though scattered showers could cap peaks near 33°C by enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, with recent years showing more frequent exceedances of 33–35°C; traders weigh these baselines against short-range model consensus on steering patterns and moisture, creating tight probabilities between the 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?
34°C 34%
33°C 29%
32°C 23%
35°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
23%
33°C
29%
34°C
34%
35°C
16%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 34%
33°C 29%
32°C 23%
35°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
$110 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$44 ปริมาณ
23%
33°C
$419 ปริมาณ
29%
34°C
$66 ปริมาณ
34%
35°C
$21 ปริมาณ
16%
36°C
$21 ปริมาณ
4%
37°C
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C or higher
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a likely daily maximum near 34°C on August 12, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid ongoing climate warming trends, though scattered showers could cap peaks near 33°C by enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, with recent years showing more frequent exceedances of 33–35°C; traders weigh these baselines against short-range model consensus on steering patterns and moisture, creating tight probabilities between the 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$779วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a likely daily maximum near 34°C on August 12, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid ongoing climate warming trends, though scattered showers could cap peaks near 33°C by enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, with recent years showing more frequent exceedances of 33–35°C; traders weigh these baselines against short-range model consensus on steering patterns and moisture, creating tight probabilities between the 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$779วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a likely daily maximum near 34°C on August 12, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid ongoing climate warming trends, though scattered showers could cap peaks near 33°C by enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, with recent years showing more frequent exceedances of 33–35°C; traders weigh these baselines against short-range model consensus on steering patterns and moisture, creating tight probabilities between the 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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