Karachi's coastal position on the Arabian Sea drives persistent onshore breezes and high humidity during peak monsoon season, moderating daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 31–32 °C. Current forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather point to partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers or thundershowers on August 15, further limiting solar heating and keeping the highest temperature most likely between 31–33 °C. Recent observations through mid-August show daily highs fluctuating around 30–34 °C amid variable moisture influx, with no heatwave signals in model guidance. These conditions underpin the market's strong consensus around 32 °C (49 % implied probability) and adjacent outcomes, while the low odds on 34 °C or higher reflect the slim chance of clearer skies allowing modest warming. Updated evening model runs and official briefings tomorrow will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on August 15?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 15?
32°C 50%
33°C 27%
31°C 19%
30°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
19%
32°C
50%
33°C
27%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 27%
31°C 19%
30°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
27°C or below
$205 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$442 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$737 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$876 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$738 ปริมาณ
19%
32°C
$3,396 ปริมาณ
50%
33°C
$1,880 ปริมาณ
27%
34°C
$502 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$309 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$580 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C or higher
$199 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Karachi's coastal position on the Arabian Sea drives persistent onshore breezes and high humidity during peak monsoon season, moderating daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 31–32 °C. Current forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather point to partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers or thundershowers on August 15, further limiting solar heating and keeping the highest temperature most likely between 31–33 °C. Recent observations through mid-August show daily highs fluctuating around 30–34 °C amid variable moisture influx, with no heatwave signals in model guidance. These conditions underpin the market's strong consensus around 32 °C (49 % implied probability) and adjacent outcomes, while the low odds on 34 °C or higher reflect the slim chance of clearer skies allowing modest warming. Updated evening model runs and official briefings tomorrow will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,741วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Karachi's coastal position on the Arabian Sea drives persistent onshore breezes and high humidity during peak monsoon season, moderating daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 31–32 °C. Current forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather point to partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers or thundershowers on August 15, further limiting solar heating and keeping the highest temperature most likely between 31–33 °C. Recent observations through mid-August show daily highs fluctuating around 30–34 °C amid variable moisture influx, with no heatwave signals in model guidance. These conditions underpin the market's strong consensus around 32 °C (49 % implied probability) and adjacent outcomes, while the low odds on 34 °C or higher reflect the slim chance of clearer skies allowing modest warming. Updated evening model runs and official briefings tomorrow will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,741วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Karachi's coastal position on the Arabian Sea drives persistent onshore breezes and high humidity during peak monsoon season, moderating daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 31–32 °C. Current forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and AccuWeather point to partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers or thundershowers on August 15, further limiting solar heating and keeping the highest temperature most likely between 31–33 °C. Recent observations through mid-August show daily highs fluctuating around 30–34 °C amid variable moisture influx, with no heatwave signals in model guidance. These conditions underpin the market's strong consensus around 32 °C (49 % implied probability) and adjacent outcomes, while the low odds on 34 °C or higher reflect the slim chance of clearer skies allowing modest warming. Updated evening model runs and official briefings tomorrow will refine the outlook ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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