Current atmospheric patterns over central China, driven by the western Pacific subtropical high, are positioning Wuhan for a peak temperature near 33°C on August 16, matching the market's strongest implied probability. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration points to stable subsidence, limited moisture advection, and typical summer insolation without nearby tropical systems or cold fronts altering the trajectory. Climatological baselines for mid-August in the region average highs of 32–34°C, consistent with the concentrated trader consensus around these thresholds. Short-range ensemble forecasts show low variability in this window, though any late adjustments to humidity or boundary-layer mixing could shift outcomes slightly before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 16?
33°C 42%
32°C 28%
34°C 20%
31°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
28%
33°C
42%
34°C
20%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
32°C 28%
34°C 20%
31°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$357 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$183 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$593 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$284 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$863 ปริมาณ
10%
32°C
$436 ปริมาณ
28%
33°C
$2,897 ปริมาณ
42%
34°C
$1,161 ปริมาณ
20%
35°C
$772 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C
$773 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C or higher
$370 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric patterns over central China, driven by the western Pacific subtropical high, are positioning Wuhan for a peak temperature near 33°C on August 16, matching the market's strongest implied probability. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration points to stable subsidence, limited moisture advection, and typical summer insolation without nearby tropical systems or cold fronts altering the trajectory. Climatological baselines for mid-August in the region average highs of 32–34°C, consistent with the concentrated trader consensus around these thresholds. Short-range ensemble forecasts show low variability in this window, though any late adjustments to humidity or boundary-layer mixing could shift outcomes slightly before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,688วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric patterns over central China, driven by the western Pacific subtropical high, are positioning Wuhan for a peak temperature near 33°C on August 16, matching the market's strongest implied probability. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration points to stable subsidence, limited moisture advection, and typical summer insolation without nearby tropical systems or cold fronts altering the trajectory. Climatological baselines for mid-August in the region average highs of 32–34°C, consistent with the concentrated trader consensus around these thresholds. Short-range ensemble forecasts show low variability in this window, though any late adjustments to humidity or boundary-layer mixing could shift outcomes slightly before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,688วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current atmospheric patterns over central China, driven by the western Pacific subtropical high, are positioning Wuhan for a peak temperature near 33°C on August 16, matching the market's strongest implied probability. Official guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration points to stable subsidence, limited moisture advection, and typical summer insolation without nearby tropical systems or cold fronts altering the trajectory. Climatological baselines for mid-August in the region average highs of 32–34°C, consistent with the concentrated trader consensus around these thresholds. Short-range ensemble forecasts show low variability in this window, though any late adjustments to humidity or boundary-layer mixing could shift outcomes slightly before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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