Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 26°C on August 15 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with a daily range of roughly 28–33°C and high humidity supporting limited radiative cooling. This aligns with the mean minimum of 27.8°C observed so far in August and multi-model projections showing no major disturbances such as tropical cyclone influences or unusual frontal passages. Trader consensus at 99.7% for exactly 26°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the narrow historical variance in minimum temperatures during peak summer. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in convective activity or thicker cloud cover that drops readings below 25°C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
26°C 99.5%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$43,175 ปริมาณ
$43,175 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.5%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
$43,175 ปริมาณ
$43,175 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$723 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$4,983 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$3,308 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$5,087 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$11,499 ปริมาณ
100%
27°C
$8,338 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$4,929 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$2,367 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,073 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$430 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$440 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 26°C on August 15 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with a daily range of roughly 28–33°C and high humidity supporting limited radiative cooling. This aligns with the mean minimum of 27.8°C observed so far in August and multi-model projections showing no major disturbances such as tropical cyclone influences or unusual frontal passages. Trader consensus at 99.7% for exactly 26°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the narrow historical variance in minimum temperatures during peak summer. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in convective activity or thicker cloud cover that drops readings below 25°C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,175วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 26°C on August 15 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with a daily range of roughly 28–33°C and high humidity supporting limited radiative cooling. This aligns with the mean minimum of 27.8°C observed so far in August and multi-model projections showing no major disturbances such as tropical cyclone influences or unusual frontal passages. Trader consensus at 99.7% for exactly 26°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the narrow historical variance in minimum temperatures during peak summer. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in convective activity or thicker cloud cover that drops readings below 25°C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,175วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 26°C on August 15 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with a daily range of roughly 28–33°C and high humidity supporting limited radiative cooling. This aligns with the mean minimum of 27.8°C observed so far in August and multi-model projections showing no major disturbances such as tropical cyclone influences or unusual frontal passages. Trader consensus at 99.7% for exactly 26°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and the narrow historical variance in minimum temperatures during peak summer. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in convective activity or thicker cloud cover that drops readings below 25°C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily minimum is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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