Recent National Weather Service point forecasts for Central Park show overnight lows near 69–72°F on August 16 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping the daily minimum in the low 70s. This aligns with a broader late-summer warm anomaly across the Northeast, where dew points in the 60s have limited radiational cooling compared to climatological norms of 66–68°F. Model consensus favors minimal overnight drop, positioning the 70–73°F bins as the market leaders at 77% combined implied probability. Any shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could allow slightly cooler readings, though current guidance shows little support for sub-70°F outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on August 16?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 16?
72-73°F 45%
70-71°F 32%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
63°F or below
2%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
32%
72-73°F
45%
74-75°F
16%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 45%
70-71°F 32%
74-75°F 16%
68-69°F 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
63°F or below
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
64-65°F
$5 ปริมาณ
7%
66-67°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
68-69°F
$40 ปริมาณ
10%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
74-75°F
$33 ปริมาณ
16%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
78-79°F
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
80-81°F
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
82°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service point forecasts for Central Park show overnight lows near 69–72°F on August 16 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping the daily minimum in the low 70s. This aligns with a broader late-summer warm anomaly across the Northeast, where dew points in the 60s have limited radiational cooling compared to climatological norms of 66–68°F. Model consensus favors minimal overnight drop, positioning the 70–73°F bins as the market leaders at 77% combined implied probability. Any shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could allow slightly cooler readings, though current guidance shows little support for sub-70°F outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$98วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service point forecasts for Central Park show overnight lows near 69–72°F on August 16 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping the daily minimum in the low 70s. This aligns with a broader late-summer warm anomaly across the Northeast, where dew points in the 60s have limited radiational cooling compared to climatological norms of 66–68°F. Model consensus favors minimal overnight drop, positioning the 70–73°F bins as the market leaders at 77% combined implied probability. Any shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could allow slightly cooler readings, though current guidance shows little support for sub-70°F outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$98วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service point forecasts for Central Park show overnight lows near 69–72°F on August 16 under partly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping the daily minimum in the low 70s. This aligns with a broader late-summer warm anomaly across the Northeast, where dew points in the 60s have limited radiational cooling compared to climatological norms of 66–68°F. Model consensus favors minimal overnight drop, positioning the 70–73°F bins as the market leaders at 77% combined implied probability. Any shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could allow slightly cooler readings, though current guidance shows little support for sub-70°F outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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