Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Seattle on August 14 point to a high near 80°F under mostly sunny skies, with minor variations in predicted peak values across runs driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Subtle differences in the strength of onshore marine flow, timing of daytime heating, and any residual effects from the strong Pacific high-pressure ridge sustaining Seattle’s warmer-than-average summer explain the spread between the leading bins. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 77°F, but current conditions favor a modest exceedance. Updated model cycles and the next NWS forecast discussion represent the next likely catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on August 14?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 14?
80-81°F 27%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 20%
84-85°F 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 27%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 20%
84-85°F 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
73°F or below
$23 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$1 ปริมาณ
5%
76-77°F
$108 ปริมาณ
6%
78-79°F
$316 ปริมาณ
22%
80-81°F
$76 ปริมาณ
27%
82-83°F
$35 ปริมาณ
20%
84-85°F
$137 ปริมาณ
15%
86-87°F
$55 ปริมาณ
6%
88-89°F
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
90-91°F
$12 ปริมาณ
4%
92°F or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Seattle on August 14 point to a high near 80°F under mostly sunny skies, with minor variations in predicted peak values across runs driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Subtle differences in the strength of onshore marine flow, timing of daytime heating, and any residual effects from the strong Pacific high-pressure ridge sustaining Seattle’s warmer-than-average summer explain the spread between the leading bins. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 77°F, but current conditions favor a modest exceedance. Updated model cycles and the next NWS forecast discussion represent the next likely catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$779วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Seattle on August 14 point to a high near 80°F under mostly sunny skies, with minor variations in predicted peak values across runs driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Subtle differences in the strength of onshore marine flow, timing of daytime heating, and any residual effects from the strong Pacific high-pressure ridge sustaining Seattle’s warmer-than-average summer explain the spread between the leading bins. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 77°F, but current conditions favor a modest exceedance. Updated model cycles and the next NWS forecast discussion represent the next likely catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$779วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Seattle on August 14 point to a high near 80°F under mostly sunny skies, with minor variations in predicted peak values across runs driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–83°F. Subtle differences in the strength of onshore marine flow, timing of daytime heating, and any residual effects from the strong Pacific high-pressure ridge sustaining Seattle’s warmer-than-average summer explain the spread between the leading bins. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 77°F, but current conditions favor a modest exceedance. Updated model cycles and the next NWS forecast discussion represent the next likely catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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