National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for August 12 points to daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s across the New York metro area, driven by persistent high pressure, above-average seasonal warmth, and the urban heat island effect around Central Park. These conditions align with the market's concentration of implied probability on 86-89°F outcomes, which exceed the long-term August normal of 83°F but remain below heat advisory thresholds. Limited afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers could cap intensification, while minor shifts in steering flow or dew points introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observations from LaGuardia and Central Park stations. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will provide the last key inputs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 12?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 12?
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 32%
84-85°F 20%
90-91°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
44%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 32%
84-85°F 20%
90-91°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
79°F or below
$162 ปริมาณ
1%
80-81°F
$19 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$62 ปริมาณ
3%
84-85°F
$720 ปริมาณ
20%
86-87°F
$206 ปริมาณ
44%
88-89°F
$530 ปริมาณ
32%
90-91°F
$236 ปริมาณ
5%
92-93°F
$124 ปริมาณ
2%
94-95°F
$161 ปริมาณ
<1%
96-97°F
$109 ปริมาณ
<1%
98°F or higher
$163 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for August 12 points to daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s across the New York metro area, driven by persistent high pressure, above-average seasonal warmth, and the urban heat island effect around Central Park. These conditions align with the market's concentration of implied probability on 86-89°F outcomes, which exceed the long-term August normal of 83°F but remain below heat advisory thresholds. Limited afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers could cap intensification, while minor shifts in steering flow or dew points introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observations from LaGuardia and Central Park stations. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will provide the last key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,494วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for August 12 points to daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s across the New York metro area, driven by persistent high pressure, above-average seasonal warmth, and the urban heat island effect around Central Park. These conditions align with the market's concentration of implied probability on 86-89°F outcomes, which exceed the long-term August normal of 83°F but remain below heat advisory thresholds. Limited afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers could cap intensification, while minor shifts in steering flow or dew points introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observations from LaGuardia and Central Park stations. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will provide the last key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,494วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for August 12 points to daytime highs in the mid-to-upper 80s across the New York metro area, driven by persistent high pressure, above-average seasonal warmth, and the urban heat island effect around Central Park. These conditions align with the market's concentration of implied probability on 86-89°F outcomes, which exceed the long-term August normal of 83°F but remain below heat advisory thresholds. Limited afternoon cloud cover or scattered showers could cap intensification, while minor shifts in steering flow or dew points introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observations from LaGuardia and Central Park stations. Updated short-range model runs tomorrow morning will provide the last key inputs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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