National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance currently favor a peak temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s in New York City on August 11, well above the 83°F climatological normal for mid-August. Persistent high pressure, southerly flow, elevated humidity, and the urban heat island effect are promoting daytime heating under partly sunny skies, while any afternoon convection or sea-breeze timing could limit the maximum. Recent upper-80s readings and heat advisories have reinforced trader expectations for outcomes exceeding baseline conditions but remaining below extreme thresholds. Updated model runs and real-time observations from Central Park and LaGuardia stations represent the main near-term variables that could refine the distribution before the official daily high is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 11?
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 31%
86-87°F 18%
92-93°F 6%
ใหม่
$23,801 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,801 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
83°F or below
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
6%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 31%
86-87°F 18%
92-93°F 6%
ใหม่
$23,801 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,801 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
83°F or below
$1,966 ปริมาณ
1%
84-85°F
$1,142 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$3,593 ปริมาณ
18%
88-89°F
$4,057 ปริมาณ
45%
90-91°F
$4,270 ปริมาณ
31%
92-93°F
$3,630 ปริมาณ
6%
94-95°F
$2,078 ปริมาณ
1%
96-97°F
$1,044 ปริมาณ
<1%
98-99°F
$880 ปริมาณ
<1%
100-101°F
$720 ปริมาณ
<1%
102°F or higher
$422 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance currently favor a peak temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s in New York City on August 11, well above the 83°F climatological normal for mid-August. Persistent high pressure, southerly flow, elevated humidity, and the urban heat island effect are promoting daytime heating under partly sunny skies, while any afternoon convection or sea-breeze timing could limit the maximum. Recent upper-80s readings and heat advisories have reinforced trader expectations for outcomes exceeding baseline conditions but remaining below extreme thresholds. Updated model runs and real-time observations from Central Park and LaGuardia stations represent the main near-term variables that could refine the distribution before the official daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,801วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance currently favor a peak temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s in New York City on August 11, well above the 83°F climatological normal for mid-August. Persistent high pressure, southerly flow, elevated humidity, and the urban heat island effect are promoting daytime heating under partly sunny skies, while any afternoon convection or sea-breeze timing could limit the maximum. Recent upper-80s readings and heat advisories have reinforced trader expectations for outcomes exceeding baseline conditions but remaining below extreme thresholds. Updated model runs and real-time observations from Central Park and LaGuardia stations represent the main near-term variables that could refine the distribution before the official daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,801วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance currently favor a peak temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s in New York City on August 11, well above the 83°F climatological normal for mid-August. Persistent high pressure, southerly flow, elevated humidity, and the urban heat island effect are promoting daytime heating under partly sunny skies, while any afternoon convection or sea-breeze timing could limit the maximum. Recent upper-80s readings and heat advisories have reinforced trader expectations for outcomes exceeding baseline conditions but remaining below extreme thresholds. Updated model runs and real-time observations from Central Park and LaGuardia stations represent the main near-term variables that could refine the distribution before the official daily high is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย