National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on August 12 point to a high near 100°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and limited afternoon convection, directly supporting the market's 56% implied probability on 100-101°F. Persistent summer ridging has maintained above-normal temperatures across central Texas, with recent days returning to the low triple digits and heat indices exceeding 105°F. Minor cooling from scattered storms or slightly higher cloud cover could cap readings in the upper 90s (25% on 98-99°F), while stronger heating or clearer conditions raise the smaller odds of 102-103°F. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will resolve the market, and the next NWS update cycle may refine the precise peak as the 12-hour forecast window narrows.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 12?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 12?
100-101°F 56%
98-99°F 25%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
25%
100-101°F
56%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 56%
98-99°F 25%
102-103°F 14%
96-97°F 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
91°F or below
$160 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$153 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$321 ปริมาณ
1%
96-97°F
$4 ปริมาณ
4%
98-99°F
$347 ปริมาณ
25%
100-101°F
$221 ปริมาณ
56%
102-103°F
$355 ปริมาณ
14%
104-105°F
$218 ปริมาณ
3%
106-107°F
$70 ปริมาณ
2%
108-109°F
$134 ปริมาณ
<1%
110°F or higher
$183 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on August 12 point to a high near 100°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and limited afternoon convection, directly supporting the market's 56% implied probability on 100-101°F. Persistent summer ridging has maintained above-normal temperatures across central Texas, with recent days returning to the low triple digits and heat indices exceeding 105°F. Minor cooling from scattered storms or slightly higher cloud cover could cap readings in the upper 90s (25% on 98-99°F), while stronger heating or clearer conditions raise the smaller odds of 102-103°F. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will resolve the market, and the next NWS update cycle may refine the precise peak as the 12-hour forecast window narrows.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,165วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on August 12 point to a high near 100°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and limited afternoon convection, directly supporting the market's 56% implied probability on 100-101°F. Persistent summer ridging has maintained above-normal temperatures across central Texas, with recent days returning to the low triple digits and heat indices exceeding 105°F. Minor cooling from scattered storms or slightly higher cloud cover could cap readings in the upper 90s (25% on 98-99°F), while stronger heating or clearer conditions raise the smaller odds of 102-103°F. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will resolve the market, and the next NWS update cycle may refine the precise peak as the 12-hour forecast window narrows.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,165วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Austin on August 12 point to a high near 100°F under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and limited afternoon convection, directly supporting the market's 56% implied probability on 100-101°F. Persistent summer ridging has maintained above-normal temperatures across central Texas, with recent days returning to the low triple digits and heat indices exceeding 105°F. Minor cooling from scattered storms or slightly higher cloud cover could cap readings in the upper 90s (25% on 98-99°F), while stronger heating or clearer conditions raise the smaller odds of 102-103°F. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport will resolve the market, and the next NWS update cycle may refine the precise peak as the 12-hour forecast window narrows.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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