National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Miami on August 12 point to a typical mid-August pattern dominated by the Bermuda high, with daytime highs most likely reaching 92–93°F under partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions align with the market’s leading 53.5% implied probability for 92–93°F and secondary 31.5% for 94–95°F, reflecting climatological averages near 90–91°F plus modest urban heat and sea-breeze effects that rarely push readings above 95°F this early in the season. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no tropical systems or strong cold fronts expected to alter steering or moisture, keeping downside risk for sub-90°F outcomes low at under 10% combined. Resolution will hinge on the official Miami International Airport maximum, with any late-day convection potentially trimming peak readings by 1–2°F.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Miami on August 12?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 12?
92-93°F 50%
94-95°F 41%
96-97°F 8%
90-91°F 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
50%
94-95°F
41%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 50%
94-95°F 41%
96-97°F 8%
90-91°F 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
83°F or below
$354 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$390 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$86 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$216 ปริมาณ
2%
90-91°F
$532 ปริมาณ
4%
92-93°F
$920 ปริมาณ
50%
94-95°F
$1,046 ปริมาณ
41%
96-97°F
$295 ปริมาณ
8%
98-99°F
$73 ปริมาณ
<1%
100-101°F
$151 ปริมาณ
<1%
102°F or higher
$128 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Miami on August 12 point to a typical mid-August pattern dominated by the Bermuda high, with daytime highs most likely reaching 92–93°F under partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions align with the market’s leading 53.5% implied probability for 92–93°F and secondary 31.5% for 94–95°F, reflecting climatological averages near 90–91°F plus modest urban heat and sea-breeze effects that rarely push readings above 95°F this early in the season. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no tropical systems or strong cold fronts expected to alter steering or moisture, keeping downside risk for sub-90°F outcomes low at under 10% combined. Resolution will hinge on the official Miami International Airport maximum, with any late-day convection potentially trimming peak readings by 1–2°F.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,192วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Miami on August 12 point to a typical mid-August pattern dominated by the Bermuda high, with daytime highs most likely reaching 92–93°F under partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions align with the market’s leading 53.5% implied probability for 92–93°F and secondary 31.5% for 94–95°F, reflecting climatological averages near 90–91°F plus modest urban heat and sea-breeze effects that rarely push readings above 95°F this early in the season. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no tropical systems or strong cold fronts expected to alter steering or moisture, keeping downside risk for sub-90°F outcomes low at under 10% combined. Resolution will hinge on the official Miami International Airport maximum, with any late-day convection potentially trimming peak readings by 1–2°F.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,192วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance for Miami on August 12 point to a typical mid-August pattern dominated by the Bermuda high, with daytime highs most likely reaching 92–93°F under partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions align with the market’s leading 53.5% implied probability for 92–93°F and secondary 31.5% for 94–95°F, reflecting climatological averages near 90–91°F plus modest urban heat and sea-breeze effects that rarely push readings above 95°F this early in the season. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no tropical systems or strong cold fronts expected to alter steering or moisture, keeping downside risk for sub-90°F outcomes low at under 10% combined. Resolution will hinge on the official Miami International Airport maximum, with any late-day convection potentially trimming peak readings by 1–2°F.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย