Current short-range model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF places the daytime maximum in Buenos Aires near 11–12°C on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal northerly warm-air advection during peak winter. This setup aligns with climatological August averages around 15–17°C but reflects cooler-than-normal conditions from limited solar heating and possible late-day showers that further cap temperatures. Trader-implied odds concentrate on 11–13°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover decreases. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the 24-hour forecast window will determine any final shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 12?
12°C 40%
11°C 25%
13°C 22%
14°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
9°C or below
4%
10°C
6%
11°C
25%
12°C
40%
13°C
22%
14°C
7%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 40%
11°C 25%
13°C 22%
14°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
9°C or below
$195 ปริมาณ
4%
10°C
$450 ปริมาณ
6%
11°C
$1,706 ปริมาณ
25%
12°C
$1,781 ปริมาณ
40%
13°C
$299 ปริมาณ
22%
14°C
$247 ปริมาณ
7%
15°C
$141 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$290 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$138 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$202 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C or higher
$267 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF places the daytime maximum in Buenos Aires near 11–12°C on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal northerly warm-air advection during peak winter. This setup aligns with climatological August averages around 15–17°C but reflects cooler-than-normal conditions from limited solar heating and possible late-day showers that further cap temperatures. Trader-implied odds concentrate on 11–13°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover decreases. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the 24-hour forecast window will determine any final shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,716วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF places the daytime maximum in Buenos Aires near 11–12°C on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal northerly warm-air advection during peak winter. This setup aligns with climatological August averages around 15–17°C but reflects cooler-than-normal conditions from limited solar heating and possible late-day showers that further cap temperatures. Trader-implied odds concentrate on 11–13°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover decreases. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the 24-hour forecast window will determine any final shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,716วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF places the daytime maximum in Buenos Aires near 11–12°C on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear to partly cloudy skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal northerly warm-air advection during peak winter. This setup aligns with climatological August averages around 15–17°C but reflects cooler-than-normal conditions from limited solar heating and possible late-day showers that further cap temperatures. Trader-implied odds concentrate on 11–13°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow, with only modest warming possible if cloud cover decreases. Updated model runs and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance ahead of the 24-hour forecast window will determine any final shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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