Model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF places Buenos Aires’ August 11 daytime maximum near 11–12 °C under a persistent high-pressure system that favors clear skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal warm-air advection from lower latitudes. These conditions suppress typical August highs near 17 °C and align with the market’s leading 12 °C (50 %) and 11 °C (29.5 %) outcomes. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, though small timing shifts in the ridge or brief northerly flow could push readings to 13 °C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and updated model runs scheduled for later today will provide the final verification data used for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 11?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 11?
12°C 50%
11°C 30%
13°C 15%
10°C 5%
ใหม่
$19,604 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$19,604 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
30%
12°C
50%
13°C
15%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 50%
11°C 30%
13°C 15%
10°C 5%
ใหม่
$19,604 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$19,604 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
6°C or below
$397 ปริมาณ
<1%
7°C
$991 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$616 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$670 ปริมาณ
1%
10°C
$844 ปริมาณ
5%
11°C
$9,508 ปริมาณ
30%
12°C
$2,476 ปริมาณ
50%
13°C
$1,046 ปริมาณ
15%
14°C
$1,291 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$680 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C or higher
$1,085 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF places Buenos Aires’ August 11 daytime maximum near 11–12 °C under a persistent high-pressure system that favors clear skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal warm-air advection from lower latitudes. These conditions suppress typical August highs near 17 °C and align with the market’s leading 12 °C (50 %) and 11 °C (29.5 %) outcomes. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, though small timing shifts in the ridge or brief northerly flow could push readings to 13 °C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and updated model runs scheduled for later today will provide the final verification data used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,604วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF places Buenos Aires’ August 11 daytime maximum near 11–12 °C under a persistent high-pressure system that favors clear skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal warm-air advection from lower latitudes. These conditions suppress typical August highs near 17 °C and align with the market’s leading 12 °C (50 %) and 11 °C (29.5 %) outcomes. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, though small timing shifts in the ridge or brief northerly flow could push readings to 13 °C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and updated model runs scheduled for later today will provide the final verification data used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,604วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF places Buenos Aires’ August 11 daytime maximum near 11–12 °C under a persistent high-pressure system that favors clear skies, strong overnight radiative cooling, and minimal warm-air advection from lower latitudes. These conditions suppress typical August highs near 17 °C and align with the market’s leading 12 °C (50 %) and 11 °C (29.5 %) outcomes. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, though small timing shifts in the ridge or brief northerly flow could push readings to 13 °C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and updated model runs scheduled for later today will provide the final verification data used for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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