Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows in the mid-70s°F for New York City on August 12, driven by warm southerly flow, elevated dew points, and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers. These conditions align with the broader August pattern of above-average temperatures, where climatological normals near 70°F are routinely exceeded. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 74-75°F, incorporates this short-term stability while acknowledging potential shifts from any strengthening cold front or clearer skies that could allow slightly greater cooling into the low 70s. Evening model updates and real-time observations on August 11 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
74-75°F 41%
72-73°F 25%
76-77°F 16%
70-71°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 41%
72-73°F 25%
76-77°F 16%
70-71°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
$24 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
66-67°F
$38 ปริมาณ
1%
68-69°F
$58 ปริมาณ
2%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
72-73°F
$304 ปริมาณ
25%
74-75°F
$483 ปริมาณ
41%
76-77°F
$14 ปริมาณ
16%
78-79°F
$60 ปริมาณ
6%
80-81°F
$227 ปริมาณ
1%
82°F or higher
$72 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows in the mid-70s°F for New York City on August 12, driven by warm southerly flow, elevated dew points, and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers. These conditions align with the broader August pattern of above-average temperatures, where climatological normals near 70°F are routinely exceeded. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 74-75°F, incorporates this short-term stability while acknowledging potential shifts from any strengthening cold front or clearer skies that could allow slightly greater cooling into the low 70s. Evening model updates and real-time observations on August 11 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,302วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows in the mid-70s°F for New York City on August 12, driven by warm southerly flow, elevated dew points, and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers. These conditions align with the broader August pattern of above-average temperatures, where climatological normals near 70°F are routinely exceeded. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 74-75°F, incorporates this short-term stability while acknowledging potential shifts from any strengthening cold front or clearer skies that could allow slightly greater cooling into the low 70s. Evening model updates and real-time observations on August 11 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,302วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and private model guidance points to overnight lows in the mid-70s°F for New York City on August 12, driven by warm southerly flow, elevated dew points, and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible scattered showers. These conditions align with the broader August pattern of above-average temperatures, where climatological normals near 70°F are routinely exceeded. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 74-75°F, incorporates this short-term stability while acknowledging potential shifts from any strengthening cold front or clearer skies that could allow slightly greater cooling into the low 70s. Evening model updates and real-time observations on August 11 will provide the final inputs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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