Persistent marine layer development and robust onshore flow from the Pacific are the primary drivers positioning 76–77°F as the leading market-implied outcome for the official Los Angeles station on August 12. National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus highlight low-level stratus clouds and a steady sea breeze that limit daytime warming, producing recent highs near 76–79°F and keeping temperatures 5–8°F below the seasonal August average of 84–85°F at KLAX. This cooling pattern aligns with observed trends over the past several days, with traders assigning the bulk of probability to the 74–77°F range while noting that any thinning of the marine layer could allow modest upside revisions. Updated NWS model runs and local observations will provide the next key data points before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 12?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 12?
76-77°F 60%
74-75°F 18%
78-79°F 10%
72-73°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
60%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 60%
74-75°F 18%
78-79°F 10%
72-73°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
67°F or below
$197 ปริมาณ
1%
68-69°F
$68 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$45 ปริมาณ
2%
72-73°F
$15 ปริมาณ
8%
74-75°F
$675 ปริมาณ
18%
76-77°F
$1,025 ปริมาณ
60%
78-79°F
$10 ปริมาณ
10%
80-81°F
$32 ปริมาณ
4%
82-83°F
$42 ปริมาณ
2%
84-85°F
$87 ปริมาณ
<1%
86°F or higher
$102 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer development and robust onshore flow from the Pacific are the primary drivers positioning 76–77°F as the leading market-implied outcome for the official Los Angeles station on August 12. National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus highlight low-level stratus clouds and a steady sea breeze that limit daytime warming, producing recent highs near 76–79°F and keeping temperatures 5–8°F below the seasonal August average of 84–85°F at KLAX. This cooling pattern aligns with observed trends over the past several days, with traders assigning the bulk of probability to the 74–77°F range while noting that any thinning of the marine layer could allow modest upside revisions. Updated NWS model runs and local observations will provide the next key data points before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,297วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer development and robust onshore flow from the Pacific are the primary drivers positioning 76–77°F as the leading market-implied outcome for the official Los Angeles station on August 12. National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus highlight low-level stratus clouds and a steady sea breeze that limit daytime warming, producing recent highs near 76–79°F and keeping temperatures 5–8°F below the seasonal August average of 84–85°F at KLAX. This cooling pattern aligns with observed trends over the past several days, with traders assigning the bulk of probability to the 74–77°F range while noting that any thinning of the marine layer could allow modest upside revisions. Updated NWS model runs and local observations will provide the next key data points before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,297วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer development and robust onshore flow from the Pacific are the primary drivers positioning 76–77°F as the leading market-implied outcome for the official Los Angeles station on August 12. National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus highlight low-level stratus clouds and a steady sea breeze that limit daytime warming, producing recent highs near 76–79°F and keeping temperatures 5–8°F below the seasonal August average of 84–85°F at KLAX. This cooling pattern aligns with observed trends over the past several days, with traders assigning the bulk of probability to the 74–77°F range while noting that any thinning of the marine layer could allow modest upside revisions. Updated NWS model runs and local observations will provide the next key data points before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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