Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 12 maximum temperature centers on 29–30°C as the leading outcomes due to persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms forecast through mid-month. These conditions, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon and high regional humidity near 80%, suppress surface heating and limit peak readings below late-summer climatological averages of 31–32°C. Recent model consensus from regional guidance shows daytime maxima stabilizing near 30°C amid overcast skies, with only modest diurnal recovery expected if convection weakens. Historical analogs indicate similar rainy patterns typically cap highs 1–2°C below clear-sky potential, keeping 31°C or higher at low implied probability while supporting tight clustering around the current front-runners.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
30°C 36%
29°C 35%
28°C 18%
31°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
18%
29°C
35%
30°C
36%
31°C
10%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 36%
29°C 35%
28°C 18%
31°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$32 ปริมาณ
5%
28°C
$24 ปริมาณ
18%
29°C
$75 ปริมาณ
35%
30°C
$23 ปริมาณ
36%
31°C
$94 ปริมาณ
10%
32°C
$27 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$42 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 12 maximum temperature centers on 29–30°C as the leading outcomes due to persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms forecast through mid-month. These conditions, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon and high regional humidity near 80%, suppress surface heating and limit peak readings below late-summer climatological averages of 31–32°C. Recent model consensus from regional guidance shows daytime maxima stabilizing near 30°C amid overcast skies, with only modest diurnal recovery expected if convection weakens. Historical analogs indicate similar rainy patterns typically cap highs 1–2°C below clear-sky potential, keeping 31°C or higher at low implied probability while supporting tight clustering around the current front-runners.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$355วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 12 maximum temperature centers on 29–30°C as the leading outcomes due to persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms forecast through mid-month. These conditions, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon and high regional humidity near 80%, suppress surface heating and limit peak readings below late-summer climatological averages of 31–32°C. Recent model consensus from regional guidance shows daytime maxima stabilizing near 30°C amid overcast skies, with only modest diurnal recovery expected if convection weakens. Historical analogs indicate similar rainy patterns typically cap highs 1–2°C below clear-sky potential, keeping 31°C or higher at low implied probability while supporting tight clustering around the current front-runners.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$355วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Shanghai's August 12 maximum temperature centers on 29–30°C as the leading outcomes due to persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms forecast through mid-month. These conditions, driven by the East Asian summer monsoon and high regional humidity near 80%, suppress surface heating and limit peak readings below late-summer climatological averages of 31–32°C. Recent model consensus from regional guidance shows daytime maxima stabilizing near 30°C amid overcast skies, with only modest diurnal recovery expected if convection weakens. Historical analogs indicate similar rainy patterns typically cap highs 1–2°C below clear-sky potential, keeping 31°C or higher at low implied probability while supporting tight clustering around the current front-runners.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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