Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high near 14°C in Buenos Aires on August 14, driven by persistent overcast skies, light southeasterly flow, and limited solar heating typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. Recent observations show cloudy conditions with daytime maxima around 11–12°C, while extended outlooks project modest warming to the 13–15°C range amid stable atmospheric patterns. The market's emphasis on 14°C (46.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.5%) reflects this consensus, tempered by forecast uncertainty from potential variations in cloud cover or wind shifts that could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 15°C provide context, though short-term model runs favor the slightly cooler side.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 14?
14°C 45%
15°C 25%
13°C 17%
16°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
17%
14°C
45%
15°C
25%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 45%
15°C 25%
13°C 17%
16°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
9°C or below
$95 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$116 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$132 ปริมาณ
1%
12°C
$146 ปริมาณ
5%
13°C
$252 ปริมาณ
17%
14°C
$793 ปริมาณ
45%
15°C
$118 ปริมาณ
25%
16°C
$98 ปริมาณ
8%
17°C
$50 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C
$129 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C or higher
$77 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high near 14°C in Buenos Aires on August 14, driven by persistent overcast skies, light southeasterly flow, and limited solar heating typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. Recent observations show cloudy conditions with daytime maxima around 11–12°C, while extended outlooks project modest warming to the 13–15°C range amid stable atmospheric patterns. The market's emphasis on 14°C (46.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.5%) reflects this consensus, tempered by forecast uncertainty from potential variations in cloud cover or wind shifts that could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 15°C provide context, though short-term model runs favor the slightly cooler side.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,005วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high near 14°C in Buenos Aires on August 14, driven by persistent overcast skies, light southeasterly flow, and limited solar heating typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. Recent observations show cloudy conditions with daytime maxima around 11–12°C, while extended outlooks project modest warming to the 13–15°C range amid stable atmospheric patterns. The market's emphasis on 14°C (46.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.5%) reflects this consensus, tempered by forecast uncertainty from potential variations in cloud cover or wind shifts that could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 15°C provide context, though short-term model runs favor the slightly cooler side.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,005วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources indicate a high near 14°C in Buenos Aires on August 14, driven by persistent overcast skies, light southeasterly flow, and limited solar heating typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. Recent observations show cloudy conditions with daytime maxima around 11–12°C, while extended outlooks project modest warming to the 13–15°C range amid stable atmospheric patterns. The market's emphasis on 14°C (46.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.5%) reflects this consensus, tempered by forecast uncertainty from potential variations in cloud cover or wind shifts that could alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 15°C provide context, though short-term model runs favor the slightly cooler side.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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