Recent short-term forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather indicate highest temperatures in Wellington around 13–14°C on August 14, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. Winter climatology shows average August maxima near 13°C, with day-to-day variability driven by southerly or northeasterly flows, cloud cover, and wind. The NIWA seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures through August, supporting the tight clustering around 13–14°C rather than extremes. Model consensus currently favors stable high-pressure influence yielding mild conditions without significant warming or cooling anomalies, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs could shift odds between the top two outcomes before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 14?
14°C 47%
13°C 31%
15°C 14%
12°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
6%
13°C
31%
14°C
47%
15°C
14%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C or higher
1%
14°C 47%
13°C 31%
15°C 14%
12°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
8°C or below
$331 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$319 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$399 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$12 ปริมาณ
4%
12°C
$8 ปริมาณ
6%
13°C
$54 ปริมาณ
31%
14°C
$96 ปริมาณ
47%
15°C
$1 ปริมาณ
14%
16°C
$26 ปริมาณ
3%
17°C
$2 ปริมาณ
4%
18°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather indicate highest temperatures in Wellington around 13–14°C on August 14, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. Winter climatology shows average August maxima near 13°C, with day-to-day variability driven by southerly or northeasterly flows, cloud cover, and wind. The NIWA seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures through August, supporting the tight clustering around 13–14°C rather than extremes. Model consensus currently favors stable high-pressure influence yielding mild conditions without significant warming or cooling anomalies, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs could shift odds between the top two outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,260วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather indicate highest temperatures in Wellington around 13–14°C on August 14, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. Winter climatology shows average August maxima near 13°C, with day-to-day variability driven by southerly or northeasterly flows, cloud cover, and wind. The NIWA seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures through August, supporting the tight clustering around 13–14°C rather than extremes. Model consensus currently favors stable high-pressure influence yielding mild conditions without significant warming or cooling anomalies, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs could shift odds between the top two outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,260วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from MetService and AccuWeather indicate highest temperatures in Wellington around 13–14°C on August 14, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities. Winter climatology shows average August maxima near 13°C, with day-to-day variability driven by southerly or northeasterly flows, cloud cover, and wind. The NIWA seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures through August, supporting the tight clustering around 13–14°C rather than extremes. Model consensus currently favors stable high-pressure influence yielding mild conditions without significant warming or cooling anomalies, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs could shift odds between the top two outcomes before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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