Recent forecasts for Beijing on August 12 point to maximum temperatures in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, shaped primarily by the weakening remnants of Typhoon Dolphin, which made landfall in Zhejiang province on August 9. The storm's inland track has increased regional moisture and cloud cover, reducing solar heating and keeping highs below the typical early-August average of 30–32°C. Trader consensus clusters around 26–28°C because numerical models (including GFS and ECMWF) show modest day-to-day variability in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing, all of which can shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Stronger southeasterly flow or lingering showers would favor the lower end of that range, while clearer breaks could push readings toward 28°C. With resolution only two days away, the next model cycles from the China Meteorological Administration will likely tighten the distribution further.