Recent forecasts indicate Typhoon Dolphin remnants and associated moisture transport will drive significant rainfall and cloud cover over Beijing through August 13, suppressing daytime heating and limiting the highest temperature. Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to a high near 27–29°C amid thundershowers, well below typical mid-August climatology of 30–32°C under clearer, more stable conditions. This dynamical cooling from the tropical cyclone’s northward influence explains the market’s balanced probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes while assigning meaningful weight to lower bins. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the peak heating period will further refine these trader-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on August 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 13?
32°C or higher 35%
31°C 29%
30°C 19%
29°C 10%
ใหม่
$28,610 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$28,610 ปริมาณ
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
19%
31°C
29%
32°C or higher
35%
32°C or higher 35%
31°C 29%
30°C 19%
29°C 10%
ใหม่
$28,610 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$28,610 ปริมาณ
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
$542 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$850 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,866 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$1,488 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$1,461 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$1,602 ปริมาณ
4%
28°C
$2,077 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$1,744 ปริมาณ
10%
30°C
$1,536 ปริมาณ
19%
31°C
$2,806 ปริมาณ
29%
32°C or higher
$12,639 ปริมาณ
35%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Typhoon Dolphin remnants and associated moisture transport will drive significant rainfall and cloud cover over Beijing through August 13, suppressing daytime heating and limiting the highest temperature. Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to a high near 27–29°C amid thundershowers, well below typical mid-August climatology of 30–32°C under clearer, more stable conditions. This dynamical cooling from the tropical cyclone’s northward influence explains the market’s balanced probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes while assigning meaningful weight to lower bins. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the peak heating period will further refine these trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,610วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Typhoon Dolphin remnants and associated moisture transport will drive significant rainfall and cloud cover over Beijing through August 13, suppressing daytime heating and limiting the highest temperature. Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to a high near 27–29°C amid thundershowers, well below typical mid-August climatology of 30–32°C under clearer, more stable conditions. This dynamical cooling from the tropical cyclone’s northward influence explains the market’s balanced probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes while assigning meaningful weight to lower bins. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the peak heating period will further refine these trader-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,610วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate Typhoon Dolphin remnants and associated moisture transport will drive significant rainfall and cloud cover over Beijing through August 13, suppressing daytime heating and limiting the highest temperature. Official guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to a high near 27–29°C amid thundershowers, well below typical mid-August climatology of 30–32°C under clearer, more stable conditions. This dynamical cooling from the tropical cyclone’s northward influence explains the market’s balanced probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes while assigning meaningful weight to lower bins. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the peak heating period will further refine these trader-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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