Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, often called the African anticyclone, are positioning Milan for maximum temperatures of 35–37°C on August 11, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 36°C (40.5%) and 37°C (29%). Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC currently indicate highs near 35–36°C under sunny skies with light winds, while Italy's red alerts for Milan reflect sustained extreme heat from the season's fourth major episode. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around these values, though small shifts in timing or cloud cover could alter the exact peak; historical August averages near 30°C underscore the anomaly. Traders appear to weigh the latest short-range updates heavily ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on August 11?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 11?
36°C 41%
37°C 29%
35°C 21%
38°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
32°C or below
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
13%
36°C
41%
37°C
29%
38°C
8%
39°C
4%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 41%
37°C 29%
35°C 21%
38°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
32°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
35°C
$5 ปริมาณ
13%
36°C
$33 ปริมาณ
41%
37°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
38°C
$16 ปริมาณ
8%
39°C
$255 ปริมาณ
4%
40°C
$12 ปริมาณ
2%
41°C
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
42°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, often called the African anticyclone, are positioning Milan for maximum temperatures of 35–37°C on August 11, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 36°C (40.5%) and 37°C (29%). Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC currently indicate highs near 35–36°C under sunny skies with light winds, while Italy's red alerts for Milan reflect sustained extreme heat from the season's fourth major episode. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around these values, though small shifts in timing or cloud cover could alter the exact peak; historical August averages near 30°C underscore the anomaly. Traders appear to weigh the latest short-range updates heavily ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$358วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, often called the African anticyclone, are positioning Milan for maximum temperatures of 35–37°C on August 11, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 36°C (40.5%) and 37°C (29%). Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC currently indicate highs near 35–36°C under sunny skies with light winds, while Italy's red alerts for Milan reflect sustained extreme heat from the season's fourth major episode. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around these values, though small shifts in timing or cloud cover could alter the exact peak; historical August averages near 30°C underscore the anomaly. Traders appear to weigh the latest short-range updates heavily ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$358วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, often called the African anticyclone, are positioning Milan for maximum temperatures of 35–37°C on August 11, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 36°C (40.5%) and 37°C (29%). Official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC currently indicate highs near 35–36°C under sunny skies with light winds, while Italy's red alerts for Milan reflect sustained extreme heat from the season's fourth major episode. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around these values, though small shifts in timing or cloud cover could alter the exact peak; historical August averages near 30°C underscore the anomaly. Traders appear to weigh the latest short-range updates heavily ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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