Recent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts and model consensus point to modest cooling for Chicago on August 11, with daytime maxima most likely limited to the upper 70s through low 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorm chances that reduce solar heating. This positioning below the 1991–2020 climatological normal high of 83°F stems from limited diurnal mixing, steering flow patterns, and possible lake-influenced moderation, following recent days near 82°F. Trader consensus has accordingly concentrated implied probability on the 78–83°F bins, with 80–81°F leading at 36.5%, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of the latest guidance and uncertainty ranges in short-range temperature projections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on August 11?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 11?
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 21%
76-77°F 11%
ใหม่
$15,777 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,777 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 21%
76-77°F 11%
ใหม่
$15,777 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,777 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
73°F or below
$847 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$1,670 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$2,072 ปริมาณ
11%
78-79°F
$1,433 ปริมาณ
24%
80-81°F
$3,141 ปริมาณ
37%
82-83°F
$2,515 ปริมาณ
21%
84-85°F
$1,561 ปริมาณ
6%
86-87°F
$871 ปริมาณ
1%
88-89°F
$626 ปริมาณ
1%
90-91°F
$563 ปริมาณ
<1%
92°F or higher
$477 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts and model consensus point to modest cooling for Chicago on August 11, with daytime maxima most likely limited to the upper 70s through low 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorm chances that reduce solar heating. This positioning below the 1991–2020 climatological normal high of 83°F stems from limited diurnal mixing, steering flow patterns, and possible lake-influenced moderation, following recent days near 82°F. Trader consensus has accordingly concentrated implied probability on the 78–83°F bins, with 80–81°F leading at 36.5%, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of the latest guidance and uncertainty ranges in short-range temperature projections.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,777วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts and model consensus point to modest cooling for Chicago on August 11, with daytime maxima most likely limited to the upper 70s through low 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorm chances that reduce solar heating. This positioning below the 1991–2020 climatological normal high of 83°F stems from limited diurnal mixing, steering flow patterns, and possible lake-influenced moderation, following recent days near 82°F. Trader consensus has accordingly concentrated implied probability on the 78–83°F bins, with 80–81°F leading at 36.5%, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of the latest guidance and uncertainty ranges in short-range temperature projections.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,777วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service ensemble forecasts and model consensus point to modest cooling for Chicago on August 11, with daytime maxima most likely limited to the upper 70s through low 80s under partly to mostly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorm chances that reduce solar heating. This positioning below the 1991–2020 climatological normal high of 83°F stems from limited diurnal mixing, steering flow patterns, and possible lake-influenced moderation, following recent days near 82°F. Trader consensus has accordingly concentrated implied probability on the 78–83°F bins, with 80–81°F leading at 36.5%, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of the latest guidance and uncertainty ranges in short-range temperature projections.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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