**High pressure dominating southern England is sustaining a heatwave, with model consensus pointing to a peak of 32–33°C in London on August 14 after Thursday’s potential 36°C spike.** The Met Office currently forecasts a 32°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions, while other guidance shows slight variations around 33°C depending on the exact timing of any subtle cooling or increased boundary-layer moisture. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on these two outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow but include realistic scenarios for minor shifts in wind direction or thin high cloud that could trim or add a degree. Urban heat-island effects and the precise measurement station (typically Heathrow) add further uncertainty within that narrow band. New model runs and official updates through Friday morning will likely resolve the final degree.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 14?
Highest temperature in London on August 14?
33°C 34%
32°C 30%
31°C 19%
34°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
19%
32°C
30%
33°C
34%
34°C
13%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 34%
32°C 30%
31°C 19%
34°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
$260 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$178 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C
$225 ปริมาณ
19%
32°C
$485 ปริมาณ
30%
33°C
$338 ปริมาณ
34%
34°C
$177 ปริมาณ
13%
35°C
$80 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C
$82 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$56 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$210 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$452 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure dominating southern England is sustaining a heatwave, with model consensus pointing to a peak of 32–33°C in London on August 14 after Thursday’s potential 36°C spike.** The Met Office currently forecasts a 32°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions, while other guidance shows slight variations around 33°C depending on the exact timing of any subtle cooling or increased boundary-layer moisture.
Trader sentiment clusters tightly on these two outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow but include realistic scenarios for minor shifts in wind direction or thin high cloud that could trim or add a degree. Urban heat-island effects and the precise measurement station (typically Heathrow) add further uncertainty within that narrow band. New model runs and official updates through Friday morning will likely resolve the final degree.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,544วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**High pressure dominating southern England is sustaining a heatwave, with model consensus pointing to a peak of 32–33°C in London on August 14 after Thursday’s potential 36°C spike.** The Met Office currently forecasts a 32°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions, while other guidance shows slight variations around 33°C depending on the exact timing of any subtle cooling or increased boundary-layer moisture.
Trader sentiment clusters tightly on these two outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow but include realistic scenarios for minor shifts in wind direction or thin high cloud that could trim or add a degree. Urban heat-island effects and the precise measurement station (typically Heathrow) add further uncertainty within that narrow band. New model runs and official updates through Friday morning will likely resolve the final degree.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,544วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**High pressure dominating southern England is sustaining a heatwave, with model consensus pointing to a peak of 32–33°C in London on August 14 after Thursday’s potential 36°C spike.** The Met Office currently forecasts a 32°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions, while other guidance shows slight variations around 33°C depending on the exact timing of any subtle cooling or increased boundary-layer moisture. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on these two outcomes because ensemble spreads remain narrow but include realistic scenarios for minor shifts in wind direction or thin high cloud that could trim or add a degree. Urban heat-island effects and the precise measurement station (typically Heathrow) add further uncertainty within that narrow band. New model runs and official updates through Friday morning will likely resolve the final degree.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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