Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum in Guangzhou around 35–37°C on August 13, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer humidity that elevates heat retention while scattered thunderstorms may cap peaks. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 33–34°C, with recent observational trends and model consensus supporting the market's emphasis on 36°C as the modal outcome. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture influx change, consistent with the 39.5% implied probability for 36°C versus lower odds for extremes above 37°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 13?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 13?
36°C 40%
35°C 25%
37°C 24%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
25%
36°C
40%
37°C
24%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
2%
36°C 40%
35°C 25%
37°C 24%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
$464 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$167 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$156 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$408 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$287 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$212 ปริมาณ
8%
35°C
$33 ปริมาณ
25%
36°C
$184 ปริมาณ
40%
37°C
$143 ปริมาณ
24%
38°C
$267 ปริมาณ
4%
39°C or higher
$33 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum in Guangzhou around 35–37°C on August 13, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer humidity that elevates heat retention while scattered thunderstorms may cap peaks. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 33–34°C, with recent observational trends and model consensus supporting the market's emphasis on 36°C as the modal outcome. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture influx change, consistent with the 39.5% implied probability for 36°C versus lower odds for extremes above 37°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,353วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum in Guangzhou around 35–37°C on August 13, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer humidity that elevates heat retention while scattered thunderstorms may cap peaks. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 33–34°C, with recent observational trends and model consensus supporting the market's emphasis on 36°C as the modal outcome. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture influx change, consistent with the 39.5% implied probability for 36°C versus lower odds for extremes above 37°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,353วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate a daily maximum in Guangzhou around 35–37°C on August 13, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer humidity that elevates heat retention while scattered thunderstorms may cap peaks. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 33–34°C, with recent observational trends and model consensus supporting the market's emphasis on 36°C as the modal outcome. Updated runs expected within 24–48 hours could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture influx change, consistent with the 39.5% implied probability for 36°C versus lower odds for extremes above 37°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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