Current forecast models from sources including the BBC and timeanddate indicate a daily high of 11–12°C for Buenos Aires on August 13, with overcast skies, light rain possible, and moderate southeasterly winds. These conditions align with typical Southern Hemisphere winter patterns, where cold air advection and limited solar heating keep maxima near or slightly below the monthly average of 14–15°C. Recent model runs show stable guidance without significant warming signals, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 11°C at 46% and 12°C at 33% implied probability. Traders are pricing in the narrow range of outcomes expected under these steady synoptic conditions ahead of final observational confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 13?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 13?
11°C 47%
12°C 34%
10°C 12%
13°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
7°C or below
1%
8°C
3%
9°C
4%
10°C
12%
11°C
47%
12°C
34%
13°C
10%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 47%
12°C 34%
10°C 12%
13°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
7°C or below
$952 ปริมาณ
1%
8°C
$40 ปริมาณ
3%
9°C
$152 ปริมาณ
4%
10°C
$333 ปริมาณ
12%
11°C
$2,028 ปริมาณ
47%
12°C
$288 ปริมาณ
34%
13°C
$290 ปริมาณ
10%
14°C
$191 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$48 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C
$273 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C or higher
$244 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the BBC and timeanddate indicate a daily high of 11–12°C for Buenos Aires on August 13, with overcast skies, light rain possible, and moderate southeasterly winds. These conditions align with typical Southern Hemisphere winter patterns, where cold air advection and limited solar heating keep maxima near or slightly below the monthly average of 14–15°C. Recent model runs show stable guidance without significant warming signals, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 11°C at 46% and 12°C at 33% implied probability. Traders are pricing in the narrow range of outcomes expected under these steady synoptic conditions ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,840วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including the BBC and timeanddate indicate a daily high of 11–12°C for Buenos Aires on August 13, with overcast skies, light rain possible, and moderate southeasterly winds. These conditions align with typical Southern Hemisphere winter patterns, where cold air advection and limited solar heating keep maxima near or slightly below the monthly average of 14–15°C. Recent model runs show stable guidance without significant warming signals, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 11°C at 46% and 12°C at 33% implied probability. Traders are pricing in the narrow range of outcomes expected under these steady synoptic conditions ahead of final observational confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,840วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the BBC and timeanddate indicate a daily high of 11–12°C for Buenos Aires on August 13, with overcast skies, light rain possible, and moderate southeasterly winds. These conditions align with typical Southern Hemisphere winter patterns, where cold air advection and limited solar heating keep maxima near or slightly below the monthly average of 14–15°C. Recent model runs show stable guidance without significant warming signals, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 11°C at 46% and 12°C at 33% implied probability. Traders are pricing in the narrow range of outcomes expected under these steady synoptic conditions ahead of final observational confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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