Recent heat wave conditions across the Netherlands are expected to break sharply on August 15, with official guidance pointing to a notable cooldown and possible thunderstorms that limit peak temperatures. Short-range ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies center daily maxima around 23–26°C amid variable cloud cover and showers, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities across 25–27°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, while model spread on timing of the frontal passage and moisture levels differentiates the leading thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 15?
26°C 33%
25°C 25%
27°C 23%
24°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
12%
25°C
25%
26°C
33%
27°C
23%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 33%
25°C 25%
27°C 23%
24°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$362 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$734 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$327 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$453 ปริมาณ
6%
24°C
$613 ปริมาณ
12%
25°C
$684 ปริมาณ
25%
26°C
$434 ปริมาณ
33%
27°C
$480 ปริมาณ
23%
28°C
$267 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$42 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat wave conditions across the Netherlands are expected to break sharply on August 15, with official guidance pointing to a notable cooldown and possible thunderstorms that limit peak temperatures. Short-range ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies center daily maxima around 23–26°C amid variable cloud cover and showers, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities across 25–27°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, while model spread on timing of the frontal passage and moisture levels differentiates the leading thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,405วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat wave conditions across the Netherlands are expected to break sharply on August 15, with official guidance pointing to a notable cooldown and possible thunderstorms that limit peak temperatures. Short-range ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies center daily maxima around 23–26°C amid variable cloud cover and showers, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities across 25–27°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, while model spread on timing of the frontal passage and moisture levels differentiates the leading thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,405วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heat wave conditions across the Netherlands are expected to break sharply on August 15, with official guidance pointing to a notable cooldown and possible thunderstorms that limit peak temperatures. Short-range ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies center daily maxima around 23–26°C amid variable cloud cover and showers, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the closely matched market-implied probabilities across 25–27°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, while model spread on timing of the frontal passage and moisture levels differentiates the leading thresholds. Updated runs from agencies like KNMI will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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