Hong Kong's August climatology, with average daily highs near 32°C, underpins trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes for August 14 amid expected showers and cloud cover that limit solar heating and cap extremes. Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects normal to above-normal temperatures through the period, consistent with long-term warming trends, while short-range models highlight easterly flow and potential thundershowers that typically suppress afternoon peaks by 1–2°C. No active typhoon or heatwave signals have shifted the outlook, leaving the market-implied distribution centered on typical mid-August variability rather than outlier conditions. Updated forecast runs ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
31°C 38%
32°C 27%
30°C 19%
33°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
19%
31°C
38%
32°C
27%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
32°C 27%
30°C 19%
33°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$300 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$254 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$367 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$694 ปริมาณ
7%
30°C
$393 ปริมาณ
19%
31°C
$812 ปริมาณ
38%
32°C
$1,447 ปริมาณ
27%
33°C
$190 ปริมาณ
8%
34°C
$227 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$202 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$261 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's August climatology, with average daily highs near 32°C, underpins trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes for August 14 amid expected showers and cloud cover that limit solar heating and cap extremes. Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects normal to above-normal temperatures through the period, consistent with long-term warming trends, while short-range models highlight easterly flow and potential thundershowers that typically suppress afternoon peaks by 1–2°C. No active typhoon or heatwave signals have shifted the outlook, leaving the market-implied distribution centered on typical mid-August variability rather than outlier conditions. Updated forecast runs ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,148วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's August climatology, with average daily highs near 32°C, underpins trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes for August 14 amid expected showers and cloud cover that limit solar heating and cap extremes. Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects normal to above-normal temperatures through the period, consistent with long-term warming trends, while short-range models highlight easterly flow and potential thundershowers that typically suppress afternoon peaks by 1–2°C. No active typhoon or heatwave signals have shifted the outlook, leaving the market-implied distribution centered on typical mid-August variability rather than outlier conditions. Updated forecast runs ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,148วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's August climatology, with average daily highs near 32°C, underpins trader focus on 30–32°C outcomes for August 14 amid expected showers and cloud cover that limit solar heating and cap extremes. Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects normal to above-normal temperatures through the period, consistent with long-term warming trends, while short-range models highlight easterly flow and potential thundershowers that typically suppress afternoon peaks by 1–2°C. No active typhoon or heatwave signals have shifted the outlook, leaving the market-implied distribution centered on typical mid-August variability rather than outlier conditions. Updated forecast runs ahead of the date will refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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