Recent forecasts from sources including Trip.com and the BBC point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C for Qingdao on August 16, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 31–33°C outcomes amid moderate uncertainty. Coastal moderation from the adjacent Yellow Sea, combined with expected overcast skies, thundery showers, and northeasterly flow, is limiting peak heating relative to inland Shandong areas. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, while broader El Niño-driven warmth across East Asia provides a slight upward bias; however, short-term variability in cloud timing, rainfall intensity, and boundary-layer mixing introduces dispersion across model guidance. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus if conditions trend drier or sunnier than currently anticipated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 16?
32°C 36%
31°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
8%
31°C
24%
32°C
36%
33°C
24%
34°C
16%
35°C
9%
36°C or higher
9%
32°C 36%
31°C 24%
33°C 24%
34°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
26°C or below
$85 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$10 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$10 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$32 ปริมาณ
7%
30°C
$49 ปริมาณ
8%
31°C
$4 ปริมาณ
24%
32°C
$15 ปริมาณ
36%
33°C
$26 ปริมาณ
24%
34°C
$44 ปริมาณ
16%
35°C
$22 ปริมาณ
9%
36°C or higher
$64 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Trip.com and the BBC point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C for Qingdao on August 16, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 31–33°C outcomes amid moderate uncertainty. Coastal moderation from the adjacent Yellow Sea, combined with expected overcast skies, thundery showers, and northeasterly flow, is limiting peak heating relative to inland Shandong areas. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, while broader El Niño-driven warmth across East Asia provides a slight upward bias; however, short-term variability in cloud timing, rainfall intensity, and boundary-layer mixing introduces dispersion across model guidance. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus if conditions trend drier or sunnier than currently anticipated.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$360วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including Trip.com and the BBC point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C for Qingdao on August 16, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 31–33°C outcomes amid moderate uncertainty. Coastal moderation from the adjacent Yellow Sea, combined with expected overcast skies, thundery showers, and northeasterly flow, is limiting peak heating relative to inland Shandong areas. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, while broader El Niño-driven warmth across East Asia provides a slight upward bias; however, short-term variability in cloud timing, rainfall intensity, and boundary-layer mixing introduces dispersion across model guidance. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus if conditions trend drier or sunnier than currently anticipated.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$360วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including Trip.com and the BBC point to a daily maximum near 30–32°C for Qingdao on August 16, consistent with market-implied odds favoring 31–33°C outcomes amid moderate uncertainty. Coastal moderation from the adjacent Yellow Sea, combined with expected overcast skies, thundery showers, and northeasterly flow, is limiting peak heating relative to inland Shandong areas. Historical August averages hover around 29–30°C, while broader El Niño-driven warmth across East Asia provides a slight upward bias; however, short-term variability in cloud timing, rainfall intensity, and boundary-layer mixing introduces dispersion across model guidance. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift trader consensus if conditions trend drier or sunnier than currently anticipated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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