Recent Met Office guidance and model consensus indicate a transition to fresher but still mild conditions over southern England by August 16, with high pressure maintaining light winds and limited cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup, following an unusually warm and settled early August, supports overnight lows in central London typically settling near 16–18°C, consistent with urban heat-island effects that add 1–3°C above rural values. Ensemble forecasts show only modest spread, keeping the probability of a dip to 15°C or lower below 12% while capping upside risk above 19°C. No significant Atlantic frontal systems are expected to arrive in time to alter the thermal profile before the market resolves.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on August 16?
Lowest temperature in London on August 16?
17°C 41%
16°C 22%
18°C 22%
20°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
4%
15°C
9%
16°C
18%
17°C
41%
18°C
22%
19°C
10%
20°C
11%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 41%
16°C 22%
18°C 22%
20°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
$21 ปริมาณ
4%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
16°C
$60 ปริมาณ
18%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
18°C
$12 ปริมาณ
22%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
20°C
$10 ปริมาณ
11%
21°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C or higher
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and model consensus indicate a transition to fresher but still mild conditions over southern England by August 16, with high pressure maintaining light winds and limited cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup, following an unusually warm and settled early August, supports overnight lows in central London typically settling near 16–18°C, consistent with urban heat-island effects that add 1–3°C above rural values. Ensemble forecasts show only modest spread, keeping the probability of a dip to 15°C or lower below 12% while capping upside risk above 19°C. No significant Atlantic frontal systems are expected to arrive in time to alter the thermal profile before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$163วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and model consensus indicate a transition to fresher but still mild conditions over southern England by August 16, with high pressure maintaining light winds and limited cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup, following an unusually warm and settled early August, supports overnight lows in central London typically settling near 16–18°C, consistent with urban heat-island effects that add 1–3°C above rural values. Ensemble forecasts show only modest spread, keeping the probability of a dip to 15°C or lower below 12% while capping upside risk above 19°C. No significant Atlantic frontal systems are expected to arrive in time to alter the thermal profile before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$163วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and model consensus indicate a transition to fresher but still mild conditions over southern England by August 16, with high pressure maintaining light winds and limited cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup, following an unusually warm and settled early August, supports overnight lows in central London typically settling near 16–18°C, consistent with urban heat-island effects that add 1–3°C above rural values. Ensemble forecasts show only modest spread, keeping the probability of a dip to 15°C or lower below 12% while capping upside risk above 19°C. No significant Atlantic frontal systems are expected to arrive in time to alter the thermal profile before the market resolves.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย