Persistent marine layer conditions, reinforced by onshore flow and coastal stratus, are moderating San Francisco temperatures and anchoring trader consensus around 66-69°F for August 13. Official NWS guidance and model consensus indicate highs near seasonal norms of 68-70°F, with the marine inversion limiting afternoon warming despite potential partial clearing. Small differences in layer depth, wind speed, or timing of any fog burn-off create the tight spread between leading bins, as even modest changes in solar heating or advection can shift the daily maximum by 1-2°F. Historical August patterns show coastal maxima rarely exceeding 73°F under similar setups, supporting the low odds on warmer outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 13?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 13?
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 27%
64-65°F 16%
70-71°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
36%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 36%
68-69°F 27%
64-65°F 16%
70-71°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
57°F or below
$77 ปริมาณ
<1%
58-59°F
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
60-61°F
$36 ปริมาณ
1%
62-63°F
$4 ปริมาณ
7%
64-65°F
$21 ปริมาณ
16%
66-67°F
$29 ปริมาณ
36%
68-69°F
$26 ปริมาณ
27%
70-71°F
$3 ปริมาณ
11%
72-73°F
$88 ปริมาณ
6%
74-75°F
$145 ปริมาณ
1%
76°F or higher
$91 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer conditions, reinforced by onshore flow and coastal stratus, are moderating San Francisco temperatures and anchoring trader consensus around 66-69°F for August 13. Official NWS guidance and model consensus indicate highs near seasonal norms of 68-70°F, with the marine inversion limiting afternoon warming despite potential partial clearing. Small differences in layer depth, wind speed, or timing of any fog burn-off create the tight spread between leading bins, as even modest changes in solar heating or advection can shift the daily maximum by 1-2°F. Historical August patterns show coastal maxima rarely exceeding 73°F under similar setups, supporting the low odds on warmer outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$571วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer conditions, reinforced by onshore flow and coastal stratus, are moderating San Francisco temperatures and anchoring trader consensus around 66-69°F for August 13. Official NWS guidance and model consensus indicate highs near seasonal norms of 68-70°F, with the marine inversion limiting afternoon warming despite potential partial clearing. Small differences in layer depth, wind speed, or timing of any fog burn-off create the tight spread between leading bins, as even modest changes in solar heating or advection can shift the daily maximum by 1-2°F. Historical August patterns show coastal maxima rarely exceeding 73°F under similar setups, supporting the low odds on warmer outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$571วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer conditions, reinforced by onshore flow and coastal stratus, are moderating San Francisco temperatures and anchoring trader consensus around 66-69°F for August 13. Official NWS guidance and model consensus indicate highs near seasonal norms of 68-70°F, with the marine inversion limiting afternoon warming despite potential partial clearing. Small differences in layer depth, wind speed, or timing of any fog burn-off create the tight spread between leading bins, as even modest changes in solar heating or advection can shift the daily maximum by 1-2°F. Historical August patterns show coastal maxima rarely exceeding 73°F under similar setups, supporting the low odds on warmer outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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