Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a moderating influence from strengthened onshore flow and marine layer stratus, keeping the daily maximum in Los Angeles on August 13 near or below seasonal norms around 82–85°F. This setup favors the 74–77°F bin as the leading outcome, with traders assigning it 46.5% implied probability amid expectations of cloud cover limiting afternoon heating. Recent model runs show limited ridging and possible patchy fog or low clouds persisting into midday, consistent with historical coastal patterns where sea-surface temperatures near 70°F suppress extremes. A narrower 78–79°F chance persists if clearer skies develop, while warmer bins remain low-probability outliers given current guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 13?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 13?
76-77°F 47%
74-75°F 33%
78-79°F 16%
72-73°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
47%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 47%
74-75°F 33%
78-79°F 16%
72-73°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
69°F or below
$17 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$98 ปริมาณ
2%
72-73°F
$224 ปริมาณ
8%
74-75°F
$307 ปริมาณ
33%
76-77°F
$860 ปริมาณ
47%
78-79°F
$276 ปริมาณ
16%
80-81°F
$108 ปริมาณ
4%
82-83°F
$62 ปริมาณ
4%
84-85°F
$85 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$89 ปริมาณ
1%
88°F or higher
$89 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a moderating influence from strengthened onshore flow and marine layer stratus, keeping the daily maximum in Los Angeles on August 13 near or below seasonal norms around 82–85°F. This setup favors the 74–77°F bin as the leading outcome, with traders assigning it 46.5% implied probability amid expectations of cloud cover limiting afternoon heating. Recent model runs show limited ridging and possible patchy fog or low clouds persisting into midday, consistent with historical coastal patterns where sea-surface temperatures near 70°F suppress extremes. A narrower 78–79°F chance persists if clearer skies develop, while warmer bins remain low-probability outliers given current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,214วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a moderating influence from strengthened onshore flow and marine layer stratus, keeping the daily maximum in Los Angeles on August 13 near or below seasonal norms around 82–85°F. This setup favors the 74–77°F bin as the leading outcome, with traders assigning it 46.5% implied probability amid expectations of cloud cover limiting afternoon heating. Recent model runs show limited ridging and possible patchy fog or low clouds persisting into midday, consistent with historical coastal patterns where sea-surface temperatures near 70°F suppress extremes. A narrower 78–79°F chance persists if clearer skies develop, while warmer bins remain low-probability outliers given current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,214วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models point to a moderating influence from strengthened onshore flow and marine layer stratus, keeping the daily maximum in Los Angeles on August 13 near or below seasonal norms around 82–85°F. This setup favors the 74–77°F bin as the leading outcome, with traders assigning it 46.5% implied probability amid expectations of cloud cover limiting afternoon heating. Recent model runs show limited ridging and possible patchy fog or low clouds persisting into midday, consistent with historical coastal patterns where sea-surface temperatures near 70°F suppress extremes. A narrower 78–79°F chance persists if clearer skies develop, while warmer bins remain low-probability outliers given current guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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