Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a warming trend for São Paulo on August 13, with daytime maxima projected in the upper 20s to low 30s °C under broken cloud cover and minimal precipitation. This follows a cooler air mass and frontal passage earlier in the week that suppressed highs to around 18–23 °C. Subtropical ridging and reduced cloud cover are expected to enhance solar insolation and warm advection, pushing temperatures above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C. Model outputs show a tight cluster around 28–31 °C, with limited upside risk from stronger heating or downside from lingering moisture. Traders have priced the 29–31 °C outcomes highest because these align with the current consensus range from operational forecasts, while extremes remain low-probability given the moderate setup and typical winter boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs and official agency guidance on the 12th–13th will be the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
29°C 40%
30°C 27%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
40%
30°C
27%
31°C
20%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 40%
30°C 27%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$33 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$29 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$23 ปริมาณ
5%
28°C
$168 ปริมาณ
8%
29°C
$278 ปริมาณ
40%
30°C
$120 ปริมาณ
27%
31°C
$83 ปริมาณ
20%
32°C
$25 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$2 ปริมาณ
3%
34°C or higher
$66 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a warming trend for São Paulo on August 13, with daytime maxima projected in the upper 20s to low 30s °C under broken cloud cover and minimal precipitation. This follows a cooler air mass and frontal passage earlier in the week that suppressed highs to around 18–23 °C. Subtropical ridging and reduced cloud cover are expected to enhance solar insolation and warm advection, pushing temperatures above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C. Model outputs show a tight cluster around 28–31 °C, with limited upside risk from stronger heating or downside from lingering moisture. Traders have priced the 29–31 °C outcomes highest because these align with the current consensus range from operational forecasts, while extremes remain low-probability given the moderate setup and typical winter boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs and official agency guidance on the 12th–13th will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$865วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a warming trend for São Paulo on August 13, with daytime maxima projected in the upper 20s to low 30s °C under broken cloud cover and minimal precipitation. This follows a cooler air mass and frontal passage earlier in the week that suppressed highs to around 18–23 °C. Subtropical ridging and reduced cloud cover are expected to enhance solar insolation and warm advection, pushing temperatures above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C. Model outputs show a tight cluster around 28–31 °C, with limited upside risk from stronger heating or downside from lingering moisture. Traders have priced the 29–31 °C outcomes highest because these align with the current consensus range from operational forecasts, while extremes remain low-probability given the moderate setup and typical winter boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs and official agency guidance on the 12th–13th will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$865วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a warming trend for São Paulo on August 13, with daytime maxima projected in the upper 20s to low 30s °C under broken cloud cover and minimal precipitation. This follows a cooler air mass and frontal passage earlier in the week that suppressed highs to around 18–23 °C. Subtropical ridging and reduced cloud cover are expected to enhance solar insolation and warm advection, pushing temperatures above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C. Model outputs show a tight cluster around 28–31 °C, with limited upside risk from stronger heating or downside from lingering moisture. Traders have priced the 29–31 °C outcomes highest because these align with the current consensus range from operational forecasts, while extremes remain low-probability given the moderate setup and typical winter boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs and official agency guidance on the 12th–13th will be the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย