Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and Trip.com indicate a daily high near 29–30°C for Qingdao on August 14, aligning with market clustering around those outcomes amid closely matched probabilities for 30°C and 31°C. Maritime moderation from the adjacent Yellow Sea, combined with expected light rain or showers and northeasterly flow, is limiting daytime heating compared with earlier August heat across Shandong. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet short-term numerical weather prediction guidance shows modest variability tied to cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24 hours remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities if conditions trend drier or clearer than currently anticipated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 14?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 14?
31°C 38%
30°C 37%
32°C 17%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
$12,522 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,522 ปริมาณ
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
37%
31°C
38%
32°C
17%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 38%
30°C 37%
32°C 17%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
$12,522 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,522 ปริมาณ
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$1,410 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,884 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$2,270 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$710 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$1,435 ปริมาณ
37%
31°C
$835 ปริมาณ
38%
32°C
$1,780 ปริมาณ
17%
33°C
$533 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C
$435 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$880 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$352 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and Trip.com indicate a daily high near 29–30°C for Qingdao on August 14, aligning with market clustering around those outcomes amid closely matched probabilities for 30°C and 31°C. Maritime moderation from the adjacent Yellow Sea, combined with expected light rain or showers and northeasterly flow, is limiting daytime heating compared with earlier August heat across Shandong. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet short-term numerical weather prediction guidance shows modest variability tied to cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24 hours remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities if conditions trend drier or clearer than currently anticipated.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,522วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and Trip.com indicate a daily high near 29–30°C for Qingdao on August 14, aligning with market clustering around those outcomes amid closely matched probabilities for 30°C and 31°C. Maritime moderation from the adjacent Yellow Sea, combined with expected light rain or showers and northeasterly flow, is limiting daytime heating compared with earlier August heat across Shandong. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet short-term numerical weather prediction guidance shows modest variability tied to cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24 hours remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities if conditions trend drier or clearer than currently anticipated.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,522วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and Trip.com indicate a daily high near 29–30°C for Qingdao on August 14, aligning with market clustering around those outcomes amid closely matched probabilities for 30°C and 31°C. Maritime moderation from the adjacent Yellow Sea, combined with expected light rain or showers and northeasterly flow, is limiting daytime heating compared with earlier August heat across Shandong. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, yet short-term numerical weather prediction guidance shows modest variability tied to cloud cover timing, precipitation intensity, and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24 hours remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities if conditions trend drier or clearer than currently anticipated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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