Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles currently indicate a Tokyo high near 29–31°C for August 15, with 30°C holding a narrow edge in trader positioning due to the subtropical Pacific high maintaining warm, humid conditions while scattered showers introduce cooling potential. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima of 31–32°C, but 2026 seasonal outlooks project above-normal temperatures from strengthened high pressure; short-term uncertainty centers on cloud cover, convective timing, and exact steering flow that could cap the peak at 29°C or allow brief clearing for 31°C. Official observations use standardized Stevenson screens at multiple urban stations, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 15?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 15?
30°C 39%
29°C 37%
31°C 16%
28°C 7%
ใหม่
$13,928 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,928 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
37%
30°C
39%
31°C
16%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 39%
29°C 37%
31°C 16%
28°C 7%
ใหม่
$13,928 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,928 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
24°C or below
$404 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$452 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$859 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$2,646 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$1,202 ปริมาณ
7%
29°C
$3,812 ปริมาณ
37%
30°C
$1,604 ปริมาณ
39%
31°C
$1,327 ปริมาณ
16%
32°C
$846 ปริมาณ
6%
33°C
$796 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C or higher
$367 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles currently indicate a Tokyo high near 29–31°C for August 15, with 30°C holding a narrow edge in trader positioning due to the subtropical Pacific high maintaining warm, humid conditions while scattered showers introduce cooling potential. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima of 31–32°C, but 2026 seasonal outlooks project above-normal temperatures from strengthened high pressure; short-term uncertainty centers on cloud cover, convective timing, and exact steering flow that could cap the peak at 29°C or allow brief clearing for 31°C. Official observations use standardized Stevenson screens at multiple urban stations, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,928วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles currently indicate a Tokyo high near 29–31°C for August 15, with 30°C holding a narrow edge in trader positioning due to the subtropical Pacific high maintaining warm, humid conditions while scattered showers introduce cooling potential. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima of 31–32°C, but 2026 seasonal outlooks project above-normal temperatures from strengthened high pressure; short-term uncertainty centers on cloud cover, convective timing, and exact steering flow that could cap the peak at 29°C or allow brief clearing for 31°C. Official observations use standardized Stevenson screens at multiple urban stations, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,928วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international ensembles currently indicate a Tokyo high near 29–31°C for August 15, with 30°C holding a narrow edge in trader positioning due to the subtropical Pacific high maintaining warm, humid conditions while scattered showers introduce cooling potential. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima of 31–32°C, but 2026 seasonal outlooks project above-normal temperatures from strengthened high pressure; short-term uncertainty centers on cloud cover, convective timing, and exact steering flow that could cap the peak at 29°C or allow brief clearing for 31°C. Official observations use standardized Stevenson screens at multiple urban stations, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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