Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 16 project a daily temperature range of 27–33°C under sunny intervals with showers, positioning the overnight minimum near 27°C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with typical August subtropical conditions driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and the absence of significant cold fronts or typhoon influences that could enhance radiative cooling overnight. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, with recent model consensus showing limited day-to-day variability and no sharp drops expected before the 16th. Trader emphasis on the 27°C and 28°C bins reflects this narrow forecast envelope, where minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the recorded low by 1°C at the official station. Updated guidance ahead of the observation period will likely refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
27°C 42%
28°C 29%
26°C 14%
29°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
42%
28°C
29%
29°C
8%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 29%
26°C 14%
29°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
$141 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$371 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$57 ปริมาณ
5%
26°C
$173 ปริมาณ
14%
27°C
$364 ปริมาณ
42%
28°C
$966 ปริมาณ
29%
29°C
$57 ปริมาณ
8%
30°C
$101 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$69 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$70 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C or higher
$70 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 16 project a daily temperature range of 27–33°C under sunny intervals with showers, positioning the overnight minimum near 27°C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with typical August subtropical conditions driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and the absence of significant cold fronts or typhoon influences that could enhance radiative cooling overnight. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, with recent model consensus showing limited day-to-day variability and no sharp drops expected before the 16th. Trader emphasis on the 27°C and 28°C bins reflects this narrow forecast envelope, where minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the recorded low by 1°C at the official station. Updated guidance ahead of the observation period will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,438วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 16 project a daily temperature range of 27–33°C under sunny intervals with showers, positioning the overnight minimum near 27°C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with typical August subtropical conditions driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and the absence of significant cold fronts or typhoon influences that could enhance radiative cooling overnight. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, with recent model consensus showing limited day-to-day variability and no sharp drops expected before the 16th. Trader emphasis on the 27°C and 28°C bins reflects this narrow forecast envelope, where minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the recorded low by 1°C at the official station. Updated guidance ahead of the observation period will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,438วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 16 project a daily temperature range of 27–33°C under sunny intervals with showers, positioning the overnight minimum near 27°C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with typical August subtropical conditions driven by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and the absence of significant cold fronts or typhoon influences that could enhance radiative cooling overnight. Seasonal outlooks indicate normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, with recent model consensus showing limited day-to-day variability and no sharp drops expected before the 16th. Trader emphasis on the 27°C and 28°C bins reflects this narrow forecast envelope, where minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the recorded low by 1°C at the official station. Updated guidance ahead of the observation period will likely refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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