Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a high near 32–33°C on August 16 amid thundery showers and 70–90% rain probability, which explains the tight market split between those two outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from a southwesterly airstream limit daytime heating and surface insolation, while high humidity near 80% further moderates maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling. Recent extremely hot conditions tied to Tropical Cyclone Dolphin have given way to this more typical August pattern of scattered convection, reducing the chance of exceeding 34°C. Traders weigh the latest multi-model consensus and timing of any rain bands against historical August maxima around 31–32°C when assessing whether isolated breaks in cloud could push the official reading to 33°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
33°C 37%
32°C 33%
31°C 15%
34°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
33%
33°C
37%
34°C
12%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 37%
32°C 33%
31°C 15%
34°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$877 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$150 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$170 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$330 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$841 ปริมาณ
15%
32°C
$418 ปริมาณ
33%
33°C
$930 ปริมาณ
37%
34°C
$409 ปริมาณ
12%
35°C
$275 ปริมาณ
3%
36°C
$583 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C or higher
$159 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a high near 32–33°C on August 16 amid thundery showers and 70–90% rain probability, which explains the tight market split between those two outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from a southwesterly airstream limit daytime heating and surface insolation, while high humidity near 80% further moderates maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling. Recent extremely hot conditions tied to Tropical Cyclone Dolphin have given way to this more typical August pattern of scattered convection, reducing the chance of exceeding 34°C. Traders weigh the latest multi-model consensus and timing of any rain bands against historical August maxima around 31–32°C when assessing whether isolated breaks in cloud could push the official reading to 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,142วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a high near 32–33°C on August 16 amid thundery showers and 70–90% rain probability, which explains the tight market split between those two outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from a southwesterly airstream limit daytime heating and surface insolation, while high humidity near 80% further moderates maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling. Recent extremely hot conditions tied to Tropical Cyclone Dolphin have given way to this more typical August pattern of scattered convection, reducing the chance of exceeding 34°C. Traders weigh the latest multi-model consensus and timing of any rain bands against historical August maxima around 31–32°C when assessing whether isolated breaks in cloud could push the official reading to 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,142วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a high near 32–33°C on August 16 amid thundery showers and 70–90% rain probability, which explains the tight market split between those two outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation from a southwesterly airstream limit daytime heating and surface insolation, while high humidity near 80% further moderates maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling. Recent extremely hot conditions tied to Tropical Cyclone Dolphin have given way to this more typical August pattern of scattered convection, reducing the chance of exceeding 34°C. Traders weigh the latest multi-model consensus and timing of any rain bands against historical August maxima around 31–32°C when assessing whether isolated breaks in cloud could push the official reading to 33°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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