Recent KMA forecasts and model guidance point to a daily maximum near 29–30°C at Incheon on August 16 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation chances. This follows an early-August heatwave that produced national records above 40°C, but easterly flow and increased cloud cover are now limiting daytime heating and radiative warming. High humidity and light winds sustain elevated heat indices near 32–33°C even if raw air temperatures moderate slightly. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and potential cooling from scattered showers or thicker cloud decks, producing closely matched odds for 29°C and 30°C while assigning lower probability to 28°C or 31°C+ outcomes. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through August 15 will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
29°C 39%
30°C 26%
28°C 21%
27°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
21%
29°C
39%
30°C
26%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 39%
30°C 26%
28°C 21%
27°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$188 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$63 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$12 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$12 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$98 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$202 ปริมาณ
7%
28°C
$178 ปริมาณ
21%
29°C
$939 ปริมาณ
39%
30°C
$536 ปริมาณ
26%
31°C
$290 ปริมาณ
7%
32°C or higher
$719 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA forecasts and model guidance point to a daily maximum near 29–30°C at Incheon on August 16 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation chances. This follows an early-August heatwave that produced national records above 40°C, but easterly flow and increased cloud cover are now limiting daytime heating and radiative warming. High humidity and light winds sustain elevated heat indices near 32–33°C even if raw air temperatures moderate slightly. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and potential cooling from scattered showers or thicker cloud decks, producing closely matched odds for 29°C and 30°C while assigning lower probability to 28°C or 31°C+ outcomes. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through August 15 will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,234วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA forecasts and model guidance point to a daily maximum near 29–30°C at Incheon on August 16 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation chances. This follows an early-August heatwave that produced national records above 40°C, but easterly flow and increased cloud cover are now limiting daytime heating and radiative warming. High humidity and light winds sustain elevated heat indices near 32–33°C even if raw air temperatures moderate slightly. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and potential cooling from scattered showers or thicker cloud decks, producing closely matched odds for 29°C and 30°C while assigning lower probability to 28°C or 31°C+ outcomes. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through August 15 will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,234วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA forecasts and model guidance point to a daily maximum near 29–30°C at Incheon on August 16 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and mostly cloudy skies with 20% precipitation chances. This follows an early-August heatwave that produced national records above 40°C, but easterly flow and increased cloud cover are now limiting daytime heating and radiative warming. High humidity and light winds sustain elevated heat indices near 32–33°C even if raw air temperatures moderate slightly. Traders appear to weigh the balance between lingering warm advection and potential cooling from scattered showers or thicker cloud decks, producing closely matched odds for 29°C and 30°C while assigning lower probability to 28°C or 31°C+ outcomes. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through August 15 will further refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย