Model consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles positions Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24°C, driving the 48.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds are limiting daytime heating and keeping the narrow ensemble spread concentrated between 23–26°C. Modest moisture and stable steering patterns further suppress risks of stronger warming or cooling, aligning with the secondary probabilities on 23°C (27.5%) and 25°C (11.5%). Official short-range guidance released in the past 24–48 hours has reinforced this range, with historical August averages near 20–22°C providing additional context for the tight clustering of trader sentiment around these values.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
24°C 49%
23°C 28%
25°C 12%
22°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
28%
24°C
49%
25°C
12%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 49%
23°C 28%
25°C 12%
22°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
$258 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$223 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$168 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$444 ปริมาณ
9%
23°C
$578 ปริมาณ
28%
24°C
$409 ปริมาณ
49%
25°C
$1,121 ปริมาณ
12%
26°C
$272 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$227 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$362 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C or higher
$685 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Model consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles positions Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24°C, driving the 48.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds are limiting daytime heating and keeping the narrow ensemble spread concentrated between 23–26°C. Modest moisture and stable steering patterns further suppress risks of stronger warming or cooling, aligning with the secondary probabilities on 23°C (27.5%) and 25°C (11.5%). Official short-range guidance released in the past 24–48 hours has reinforced this range, with historical August averages near 20–22°C providing additional context for the tight clustering of trader sentiment around these values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,746วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Model consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles positions Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24°C, driving the 48.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds are limiting daytime heating and keeping the narrow ensemble spread concentrated between 23–26°C. Modest moisture and stable steering patterns further suppress risks of stronger warming or cooling, aligning with the secondary probabilities on 23°C (27.5%) and 25°C (11.5%). Official short-range guidance released in the past 24–48 hours has reinforced this range, with historical August averages near 20–22°C providing additional context for the tight clustering of trader sentiment around these values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,746วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Model consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles positions Moscow's August 17 maximum near 24°C, driving the 48.5% implied probability for that outcome. Mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds are limiting daytime heating and keeping the narrow ensemble spread concentrated between 23–26°C. Modest moisture and stable steering patterns further suppress risks of stronger warming or cooling, aligning with the secondary probabilities on 23°C (27.5%) and 25°C (11.5%). Official short-range guidance released in the past 24–48 hours has reinforced this range, with historical August averages near 20–22°C providing additional context for the tight clustering of trader sentiment around these values.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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