**Forecast models and official guidance from the Met Office and BBC Weather currently indicate a high near 26–28 °C for London on August 16, with sunny intervals and only a low-to-moderate chance of showers.** After a recent heatwave that produced a provisional UK record of 38.1 °C at Kew Gardens, cooler northerly air is gradually arriving from the north, moderating daytime maxima while keeping conditions largely dry. Traders have therefore concentrated the highest implied probabilities on 26 °C (41.5 %) and 27 °C (27.5 %), with 25 °C (18 %) also receiving meaningful support; these outcomes sit squarely within the consensus range of the latest numerical weather predictions and align with climatological expectations for mid-August in southeast England once the heatwave subsides. Key upcoming data points include the next Met Office and ECMWF model runs and any afternoon updates from the Met Office, which could refine the precise maximum and shift probabilities if steering patterns or cloud cover change.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 16?
Highest temperature in London on August 16?
26°C 42%
27°C 28%
25°C 18%
28°C 6%
ใหม่
$14,282 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,282 ปริมาณ
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
18%
26°C
42%
27°C
28%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
27°C 28%
25°C 18%
28°C 6%
ใหม่
$14,282 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,282 ปริมาณ
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
$1,526 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$1,230 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C
$4,173 ปริมาณ
18%
26°C
$1,936 ปริมาณ
42%
27°C
$2,168 ปริมาณ
28%
28°C
$765 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$569 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$710 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$301 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$452 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C or higher
$452 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the Met Office and BBC Weather currently indicate a high near 26–28 °C for London on August 16, with sunny intervals and only a low-to-moderate chance of showers.** After a recent heatwave that produced a provisional UK record of 38.1 °C at Kew Gardens, cooler northerly air is gradually arriving from the north, moderating daytime maxima while keeping conditions largely dry.
Traders have therefore concentrated the highest implied probabilities on 26 °C (41.5 %) and 27 °C (27.5 %), with 25 °C (18 %) also receiving meaningful support; these outcomes sit squarely within the consensus range of the latest numerical weather predictions and align with climatological expectations for mid-August in southeast England once the heatwave subsides.
Key upcoming data points include the next Met Office and ECMWF model runs and any afternoon updates from the Met Office, which could refine the precise maximum and shift probabilities if steering patterns or cloud cover change.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,282วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the Met Office and BBC Weather currently indicate a high near 26–28 °C for London on August 16, with sunny intervals and only a low-to-moderate chance of showers.** After a recent heatwave that produced a provisional UK record of 38.1 °C at Kew Gardens, cooler northerly air is gradually arriving from the north, moderating daytime maxima while keeping conditions largely dry.
Traders have therefore concentrated the highest implied probabilities on 26 °C (41.5 %) and 27 °C (27.5 %), with 25 °C (18 %) also receiving meaningful support; these outcomes sit squarely within the consensus range of the latest numerical weather predictions and align with climatological expectations for mid-August in southeast England once the heatwave subsides.
Key upcoming data points include the next Met Office and ECMWF model runs and any afternoon updates from the Met Office, which could refine the precise maximum and shift probabilities if steering patterns or cloud cover change.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,282วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from the Met Office and BBC Weather currently indicate a high near 26–28 °C for London on August 16, with sunny intervals and only a low-to-moderate chance of showers.** After a recent heatwave that produced a provisional UK record of 38.1 °C at Kew Gardens, cooler northerly air is gradually arriving from the north, moderating daytime maxima while keeping conditions largely dry. Traders have therefore concentrated the highest implied probabilities on 26 °C (41.5 %) and 27 °C (27.5 %), with 25 °C (18 %) also receiving meaningful support; these outcomes sit squarely within the consensus range of the latest numerical weather predictions and align with climatological expectations for mid-August in southeast England once the heatwave subsides. Key upcoming data points include the next Met Office and ECMWF model runs and any afternoon updates from the Met Office, which could refine the precise maximum and shift probabilities if steering patterns or cloud cover change.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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