**Forecast consensus from the Meteorological Service Singapore and global models supports maximum temperatures near 32°C on August 16 under the prevailing southwest monsoon, with strengthening El Niño conditions contributing to above-average warmth and reduced rainfall.** El Niño typically suppresses convection over the Maritime Continent, increasing solar insolation and daytime heating while the seasonal monsoon pattern favors fair, occasionally windy days that limit cloud cover. Official outlooks note daily maxima of 33–34°C possible across the first half of August, yet specific short-range guidance for the 16th clusters between 31–32°C with moderate humidity and isolated showers. Traders appear to weigh this central tendency most heavily, assigning the highest implied probability to 32°C while discounting both cooler outcomes linked to convective cooling and rarer extremes above 33°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Singapore on August 16?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 16?
32°C 48%
31°C 35%
30°C 9%
33°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
35%
32°C
48%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 48%
31°C 35%
30°C 9%
33°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$285 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$224 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$431 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$216 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$464 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$465 ปริมาณ
9%
31°C
$575 ปริมาณ
35%
32°C
$2,259 ปริมาณ
48%
33°C
$728 ปริมาณ
7%
34°C
$309 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C or higher
$144 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Meteorological Service Singapore and global models supports maximum temperatures near 32°C on August 16 under the prevailing southwest monsoon, with strengthening El Niño conditions contributing to above-average warmth and reduced rainfall.** El Niño typically suppresses convection over the Maritime Continent, increasing solar insolation and daytime heating while the seasonal monsoon pattern favors fair, occasionally windy days that limit cloud cover. Official outlooks note daily maxima of 33–34°C possible across the first half of August, yet specific short-range guidance for the 16th clusters between 31–32°C with moderate humidity and isolated showers. Traders appear to weigh this central tendency most heavily, assigning the highest implied probability to 32°C while discounting both cooler outcomes linked to convective cooling and rarer extremes above 33°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,782วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the Meteorological Service Singapore and global models supports maximum temperatures near 32°C on August 16 under the prevailing southwest monsoon, with strengthening El Niño conditions contributing to above-average warmth and reduced rainfall.** El Niño typically suppresses convection over the Maritime Continent, increasing solar insolation and daytime heating while the seasonal monsoon pattern favors fair, occasionally windy days that limit cloud cover. Official outlooks note daily maxima of 33–34°C possible across the first half of August, yet specific short-range guidance for the 16th clusters between 31–32°C with moderate humidity and isolated showers. Traders appear to weigh this central tendency most heavily, assigning the highest implied probability to 32°C while discounting both cooler outcomes linked to convective cooling and rarer extremes above 33°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,782วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the Meteorological Service Singapore and global models supports maximum temperatures near 32°C on August 16 under the prevailing southwest monsoon, with strengthening El Niño conditions contributing to above-average warmth and reduced rainfall.** El Niño typically suppresses convection over the Maritime Continent, increasing solar insolation and daytime heating while the seasonal monsoon pattern favors fair, occasionally windy days that limit cloud cover. Official outlooks note daily maxima of 33–34°C possible across the first half of August, yet specific short-range guidance for the 16th clusters between 31–32°C with moderate humidity and isolated showers. Traders appear to weigh this central tendency most heavily, assigning the highest implied probability to 32°C while discounting both cooler outcomes linked to convective cooling and rarer extremes above 33°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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