Traders see 35°C and 36°C as nearly even favorites for Taipei’s August 17 high because ensemble forecasts from regional models show only marginal differences in peak daytime heating. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge, which favors clear skies and strong insolation, versus any increase in low-level moisture or afternoon sea-breeze convergence that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology places normal highs near 34–35 °C, so the slight upward bias in current guidance reflects above-average thickness values and limited cloud cover expected overnight into the 17th. Official updates from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and the next model cycle will determine whether the consensus shifts toward 36 °C or settles at 35 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on August 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 17?
35°C 42%
36°C 38%
34°C 12%
37°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
12%
35°C
42%
36°C
38%
37°C
9%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 42%
36°C 38%
34°C 12%
37°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
28°C or below
$71 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$71 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$71 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$126 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$498 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$245 ปริมาณ
3%
34°C
$478 ปริมาณ
12%
35°C
$295 ปริมาณ
42%
36°C
$1,021 ปริมาณ
38%
37°C
$446 ปริมาณ
9%
38°C or higher
$136 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 35°C and 36°C as nearly even favorites for Taipei’s August 17 high because ensemble forecasts from regional models show only marginal differences in peak daytime heating. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge, which favors clear skies and strong insolation, versus any increase in low-level moisture or afternoon sea-breeze convergence that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology places normal highs near 34–35 °C, so the slight upward bias in current guidance reflects above-average thickness values and limited cloud cover expected overnight into the 17th. Official updates from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and the next model cycle will determine whether the consensus shifts toward 36 °C or settles at 35 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,457วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see 35°C and 36°C as nearly even favorites for Taipei’s August 17 high because ensemble forecasts from regional models show only marginal differences in peak daytime heating. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge, which favors clear skies and strong insolation, versus any increase in low-level moisture or afternoon sea-breeze convergence that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology places normal highs near 34–35 °C, so the slight upward bias in current guidance reflects above-average thickness values and limited cloud cover expected overnight into the 17th. Official updates from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and the next model cycle will determine whether the consensus shifts toward 36 °C or settles at 35 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,457วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 35°C and 36°C as nearly even favorites for Taipei’s August 17 high because ensemble forecasts from regional models show only marginal differences in peak daytime heating. Key variables include the strength of the subtropical ridge, which favors clear skies and strong insolation, versus any increase in low-level moisture or afternoon sea-breeze convergence that could cap temperatures. Historical August climatology places normal highs near 34–35 °C, so the slight upward bias in current guidance reflects above-average thickness values and limited cloud cover expected overnight into the 17th. Official updates from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and the next model cycle will determine whether the consensus shifts toward 36 °C or settles at 35 °C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย