Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate typical mid-August conditions for subtropical São Paulo, with a dry-season high-pressure system favoring daytime maxima near 24–25°C. Historical climatology shows average August highs of 23–25°C, modulated by southerly cold air intrusions, Atlantic moisture, and the urban heat island effect that can elevate readings by 1–2°C in the metro area. Recent model runs show limited variability, with minimal cloud cover and light winds supporting the market-implied odds favoring 24°C (44%) and 25°C (30%) over cooler or warmer extremes. No significant warm or cold anomalies have emerged in the past week to shift the consensus, though updated INMET or ECMWF guidance on afternoon instability could refine the exact peak before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 15?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 15?
24°C 44%
25°C 30%
23°C 12%
26°C 12%
ใหม่
$16,139 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,139 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
12%
24°C
44%
25°C
30%
26°C
12%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 44%
25°C 30%
23°C 12%
26°C 12%
ใหม่
$16,139 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,139 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$442 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$682 ปริมาณ
3%
23°C
$3,753 ปริมาณ
12%
24°C
$1,648 ปริมาณ
44%
25°C
$2,445 ปริมาณ
30%
26°C
$4,176 ปริมาณ
12%
27°C
$1,570 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C
$367 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$653 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$367 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate typical mid-August conditions for subtropical São Paulo, with a dry-season high-pressure system favoring daytime maxima near 24–25°C. Historical climatology shows average August highs of 23–25°C, modulated by southerly cold air intrusions, Atlantic moisture, and the urban heat island effect that can elevate readings by 1–2°C in the metro area. Recent model runs show limited variability, with minimal cloud cover and light winds supporting the market-implied odds favoring 24°C (44%) and 25°C (30%) over cooler or warmer extremes. No significant warm or cold anomalies have emerged in the past week to shift the consensus, though updated INMET or ECMWF guidance on afternoon instability could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,139วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate typical mid-August conditions for subtropical São Paulo, with a dry-season high-pressure system favoring daytime maxima near 24–25°C. Historical climatology shows average August highs of 23–25°C, modulated by southerly cold air intrusions, Atlantic moisture, and the urban heat island effect that can elevate readings by 1–2°C in the metro area. Recent model runs show limited variability, with minimal cloud cover and light winds supporting the market-implied odds favoring 24°C (44%) and 25°C (30%) over cooler or warmer extremes. No significant warm or cold anomalies have emerged in the past week to shift the consensus, though updated INMET or ECMWF guidance on afternoon instability could refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,139วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate typical mid-August conditions for subtropical São Paulo, with a dry-season high-pressure system favoring daytime maxima near 24–25°C. Historical climatology shows average August highs of 23–25°C, modulated by southerly cold air intrusions, Atlantic moisture, and the urban heat island effect that can elevate readings by 1–2°C in the metro area. Recent model runs show limited variability, with minimal cloud cover and light winds supporting the market-implied odds favoring 24°C (44%) and 25°C (30%) over cooler or warmer extremes. No significant warm or cold anomalies have emerged in the past week to shift the consensus, though updated INMET or ECMWF guidance on afternoon instability could refine the exact peak before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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