Recent forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather consensus point to a daytime high of 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17, aligning with the market's leading 39.5% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical mid-August conditions in the region, where average highs hover near 21°C amid moderate Atlantic airflow, with limited daytime heating expected under partly cloudy skies and possible light showers. Ensemble runs show tight clustering between 20–22°C, supporting the combined 81% probability across those three bins, while lower odds for 23°C or above reflect the absence of anomalous warming patterns or high-pressure blocking. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has remained stable with minimal spread, reducing uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 17?
21°C 41%
22°C 24%
20°C 18%
19°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
18%
21°C
41%
22°C
24%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 41%
22°C 24%
20°C 18%
19°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 17, 2026
16°C or below
$122 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$31 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$178 ปริมาณ
6%
20°C
$181 ปริมาณ
18%
21°C
$636 ปริมาณ
41%
22°C
$127 ปริมาณ
24%
23°C
$56 ปริมาณ
5%
24°C
$55 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$16 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$131 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather consensus point to a daytime high of 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17, aligning with the market's leading 39.5% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical mid-August conditions in the region, where average highs hover near 21°C amid moderate Atlantic airflow, with limited daytime heating expected under partly cloudy skies and possible light showers. Ensemble runs show tight clustering between 20–22°C, supporting the combined 81% probability across those three bins, while lower odds for 23°C or above reflect the absence of anomalous warming patterns or high-pressure blocking. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has remained stable with minimal spread, reducing uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,538วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather consensus point to a daytime high of 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17, aligning with the market's leading 39.5% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical mid-August conditions in the region, where average highs hover near 21°C amid moderate Atlantic airflow, with limited daytime heating expected under partly cloudy skies and possible light showers. Ensemble runs show tight clustering between 20–22°C, supporting the combined 81% probability across those three bins, while lower odds for 23°C or above reflect the absence of anomalous warming patterns or high-pressure blocking. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has remained stable with minimal spread, reducing uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,538วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather consensus point to a daytime high of 21°C in Amsterdam on August 17, aligning with the market's leading 39.5% implied probability for that outcome. This reflects typical mid-August conditions in the region, where average highs hover near 21°C amid moderate Atlantic airflow, with limited daytime heating expected under partly cloudy skies and possible light showers. Ensemble runs show tight clustering between 20–22°C, supporting the combined 81% probability across those three bins, while lower odds for 23°C or above reflect the absence of anomalous warming patterns or high-pressure blocking. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has remained stable with minimal spread, reducing uncertainty ahead of tomorrow's resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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