**Trader consensus on the June 15 NYC daily minimum reflects substantial uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid mixed model guidance.** Latest NWS and ensemble runs indicate a frontal passage or showers early in the period could yield partly to mostly cloudy skies, limiting temperature drops, while clearer breaks or lighter winds might permit cooling into the mid-60s. Historical June climatology places typical lows near 62–67°F, but urban heat island effects and boundary-layer moisture add variability; outcomes cluster around 64–67°F and 74°F+ because small differences in cloud timing or dewpoint depression can shift the minimum by several degrees. Fresh model updates from the NHC/NOAA suite will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on June 15?
66-67°F 26%
64-65°F 22%
60-61°F 19%
58-59°F 19%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
19%
74°F or higher
18%
66-67°F 26%
64-65°F 22%
60-61°F 19%
58-59°F 19%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
22%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
19%
74°F or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the June 15 NYC daily minimum reflects substantial uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling amid mixed model guidance.** Latest NWS and ensemble runs indicate a frontal passage or showers early in the period could yield partly to mostly cloudy skies, limiting temperature drops, while clearer breaks or lighter winds might permit cooling into the mid-60s. Historical June climatology places typical lows near 62–67°F, but urban heat island effects and boundary-layer moisture add variability; outcomes cluster around 64–67°F and 74°F+ because small differences in cloud timing or dewpoint depression can shift the minimum by several degrees. Fresh model updates from the NHC/NOAA suite will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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