**Trader sentiment for the lowest NYC temperature on June 14, 2026, centers on the 74–75°F bin at 39% implied probability, followed by 70–71°F (23.5%) and 72–73°F (13.5%).** These outcomes reflect current forecast consensus from models and observations showing overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s under a warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling. Key scientific drivers include above-average temperatures from a southerly flow, elevated dew points that suppress overnight drops, and minimal cloud cover or frontal passages that would otherwise enhance cooling. Recent data confirm this pattern: the June 13 minimum reached 70°F in Central Park, with June 2026 running several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological low of ~62–67°F for mid-month. Ensemble guidance from NOAA/NWS and private models shows little change through the overnight period, keeping the most likely minimum near 73–75°F. Traders appear to be weighting the strong model agreement and lack of disruptive weather features, while assigning low probability (<4% combined) to cooler bins below 68°F that would require an unforecasted cold advection event. Resolution depends on the official National Weather Service reading, typically from LaGuardia or Central Park stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on June 14?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 14?
74-75°F 39%
70-71°F 33%
72-73°F 14%
68-69°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 14, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 39%
70-71°F 33%
72-73°F 14%
68-69°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 14, 2026
63°F or below
$382 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$696 ปริมาณ
1%
66-67°F
$870 ปริมาณ
9%
68-69°F
$172 ปริมาณ
13%
70-71°F
$147 ปริมาณ
24%
72-73°F
$90 ปริมาณ
14%
74-75°F
$149 ปริมาณ
39%
76-77°F
$399 ปริมาณ
3%
78-79°F
$57 ปริมาณ
1%
80-81°F
$492 ปริมาณ
<1%
82°F or higher
$757 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest NYC temperature on June 14, 2026, centers on the 74–75°F bin at 39% implied probability, followed by 70–71°F (23.5%) and 72–73°F (13.5%).** These outcomes reflect current forecast consensus from models and observations showing overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s under a warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling.
Key scientific drivers include above-average temperatures from a southerly flow, elevated dew points that suppress overnight drops, and minimal cloud cover or frontal passages that would otherwise enhance cooling. Recent data confirm this pattern: the June 13 minimum reached 70°F in Central Park, with June 2026 running several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological low of ~62–67°F for mid-month. Ensemble guidance from NOAA/NWS and private models shows little change through the overnight period, keeping the most likely minimum near 73–75°F.
Traders appear to be weighting the strong model agreement and lack of disruptive weather features, while assigning low probability (<4% combined) to cooler bins below 68°F that would require an unforecasted cold advection event. Resolution depends on the official National Weather Service reading, typically from LaGuardia or Central Park stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,206วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest NYC temperature on June 14, 2026, centers on the 74–75°F bin at 39% implied probability, followed by 70–71°F (23.5%) and 72–73°F (13.5%).** These outcomes reflect current forecast consensus from models and observations showing overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s under a warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling.
Key scientific drivers include above-average temperatures from a southerly flow, elevated dew points that suppress overnight drops, and minimal cloud cover or frontal passages that would otherwise enhance cooling. Recent data confirm this pattern: the June 13 minimum reached 70°F in Central Park, with June 2026 running several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological low of ~62–67°F for mid-month. Ensemble guidance from NOAA/NWS and private models shows little change through the overnight period, keeping the most likely minimum near 73–75°F.
Traders appear to be weighting the strong model agreement and lack of disruptive weather features, while assigning low probability (<4% combined) to cooler bins below 68°F that would require an unforecasted cold advection event. Resolution depends on the official National Weather Service reading, typically from LaGuardia or Central Park stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,206วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest NYC temperature on June 14, 2026, centers on the 74–75°F bin at 39% implied probability, followed by 70–71°F (23.5%) and 72–73°F (13.5%).** These outcomes reflect current forecast consensus from models and observations showing overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s under a warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling. Key scientific drivers include above-average temperatures from a southerly flow, elevated dew points that suppress overnight drops, and minimal cloud cover or frontal passages that would otherwise enhance cooling. Recent data confirm this pattern: the June 13 minimum reached 70°F in Central Park, with June 2026 running several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological low of ~62–67°F for mid-month. Ensemble guidance from NOAA/NWS and private models shows little change through the overnight period, keeping the most likely minimum near 73–75°F. Traders appear to be weighting the strong model agreement and lack of disruptive weather features, while assigning low probability (<4% combined) to cooler bins below 68°F that would require an unforecasted cold advection event. Resolution depends on the official National Weather Service reading, typically from LaGuardia or Central Park stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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