**Near-normal conditions dominate short-range forecasts for Istanbul's June 16 maximum temperature, keeping the market tightly clustered around 25–26 °C.** Historical mid-June averages hover near 26–27 °C as daytime highs climb steadily through the month, with maritime moderation from the Bosphorus, Sea of Marmara, and Black Sea limiting extremes. Current ensemble guidance from global models shows limited spread, favoring a classic early-summer pattern of moderate northerly or north-easterly flow and partial cloud cover that caps peak heating. Small differences in timing of any sea-breeze onset or afternoon insolation could easily shift the observed high by 1 °C, explaining why 25 °C and 26 °C together command over 60 % of trader probability while warmer or cooler outliers remain low-probability tails. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?
26°C 32%
25°C 27%
27°C 16%
24°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
9%
25°C
28%
26°C
32%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 32%
25°C 27%
27°C 16%
24°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
$81 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$104 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$13 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$14 ปริมาณ
9%
25°C
$50 ปริมาณ
28%
26°C
$57 ปริมาณ
32%
27°C
$23 ปริมาณ
16%
28°C
$16 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$27 ปริมาณ
5%
30°C
$110 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C or higher
$431 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Near-normal conditions dominate short-range forecasts for Istanbul's June 16 maximum temperature, keeping the market tightly clustered around 25–26 °C.** Historical mid-June averages hover near 26–27 °C as daytime highs climb steadily through the month, with maritime moderation from the Bosphorus, Sea of Marmara, and Black Sea limiting extremes. Current ensemble guidance from global models shows limited spread, favoring a classic early-summer pattern of moderate northerly or north-easterly flow and partial cloud cover that caps peak heating. Small differences in timing of any sea-breeze onset or afternoon insolation could easily shift the observed high by 1 °C, explaining why 25 °C and 26 °C together command over 60 % of trader probability while warmer or cooler outliers remain low-probability tails. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$917วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Near-normal conditions dominate short-range forecasts for Istanbul's June 16 maximum temperature, keeping the market tightly clustered around 25–26 °C.** Historical mid-June averages hover near 26–27 °C as daytime highs climb steadily through the month, with maritime moderation from the Bosphorus, Sea of Marmara, and Black Sea limiting extremes. Current ensemble guidance from global models shows limited spread, favoring a classic early-summer pattern of moderate northerly or north-easterly flow and partial cloud cover that caps peak heating. Small differences in timing of any sea-breeze onset or afternoon insolation could easily shift the observed high by 1 °C, explaining why 25 °C and 26 °C together command over 60 % of trader probability while warmer or cooler outliers remain low-probability tails. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$917วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Near-normal conditions dominate short-range forecasts for Istanbul's June 16 maximum temperature, keeping the market tightly clustered around 25–26 °C.** Historical mid-June averages hover near 26–27 °C as daytime highs climb steadily through the month, with maritime moderation from the Bosphorus, Sea of Marmara, and Black Sea limiting extremes. Current ensemble guidance from global models shows limited spread, favoring a classic early-summer pattern of moderate northerly or north-easterly flow and partial cloud cover that caps peak heating. Small differences in timing of any sea-breeze onset or afternoon insolation could easily shift the observed high by 1 °C, explaining why 25 °C and 26 °C together command over 60 % of trader probability while warmer or cooler outliers remain low-probability tails. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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