Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to minimum temperatures of 25–26°C on June 16, driven by expected showers and mostly cloudy skies that reduce overnight radiative cooling. Historical June averages near 26°C provide context, while current model runs emphasize persistent humidity above 80% and limited diurnal temperature swings. These conditions align with the market-implied odds favoring 26°C at 37.5%, followed by 27°C and 25°C, as traders weigh the narrow forecast range against typical variability from passing tropical moisture. Updated model guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
26°C 38%
27°C 21%
28°C 15%
25°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
14%
26°C
38%
27°C
21%
28°C
15%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 38%
27°C 21%
28°C 15%
25°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 16, 2026
21°C or below
$325 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$16 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$16 ปริมาณ
14%
26°C
$21 ปริมาณ
38%
27°C
$7 ปริมาณ
21%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
29°C
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C or higher
$27 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to minimum temperatures of 25–26°C on June 16, driven by expected showers and mostly cloudy skies that reduce overnight radiative cooling. Historical June averages near 26°C provide context, while current model runs emphasize persistent humidity above 80% and limited diurnal temperature swings. These conditions align with the market-implied odds favoring 26°C at 37.5%, followed by 27°C and 25°C, as traders weigh the narrow forecast range against typical variability from passing tropical moisture. Updated model guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$486วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to minimum temperatures of 25–26°C on June 16, driven by expected showers and mostly cloudy skies that reduce overnight radiative cooling. Historical June averages near 26°C provide context, while current model runs emphasize persistent humidity above 80% and limited diurnal temperature swings. These conditions align with the market-implied odds favoring 26°C at 37.5%, followed by 27°C and 25°C, as traders weigh the narrow forecast range against typical variability from passing tropical moisture. Updated model guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$486วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to minimum temperatures of 25–26°C on June 16, driven by expected showers and mostly cloudy skies that reduce overnight radiative cooling. Historical June averages near 26°C provide context, while current model runs emphasize persistent humidity above 80% and limited diurnal temperature swings. These conditions align with the market-implied odds favoring 26°C at 37.5%, followed by 27°C and 25°C, as traders weigh the narrow forecast range against typical variability from passing tropical moisture. Updated model guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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